| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,237 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $8,406 | +$1,529 +22% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,180 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $8,308 | +$956 +13% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,720 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $6,678 | +$194 +3.0% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,565 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $5,910 | +$157 +2.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,588 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $4,336 | +$356 +8.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,816 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $4,166 | +$841 +25% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 3,800 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $3,477 | +$342 +11% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,800 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $2,450 | +$87 +3.7% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,621 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,571 | +$20 +1.3% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,467 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $1,357 | +$215 +19% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,454 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $1,345 | +$165 +14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,585 | 5¢ → 66¢ | $1,045 | +$969 +1274% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 1,070 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $920 | +$170 +23% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 854 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $812 | +$98 +14% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 894 | 60¢ → 88¢ | $782 | +$244 +45% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 849 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $747 | +$144 +24% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → 74¢ | $735 | +$155 +27% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 693 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $662 | +$185 +39% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $596 | +$101 +20% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 720 | 42¢ → 81¢ | $579 | +$280 +93% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 1,100 | 26¢ → 43¢ | $467 | +$181 +63% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $375 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 366 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $356 | +$85 +32% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 428 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $349 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 497 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $311 | +$48 +18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $298 | +$61 +26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 300 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $286 | +$76 +36% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $273 | +$47 +21% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 295 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $263 | +$37 +16% |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 276 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $261 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 264 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $258 | +$20 +8.2% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 79d | Yes | 300 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 270 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $228 | +$40 +21% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 297 | 61¢ → 74¢ | $218 | +$38 +21% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 300 | 57¢ → 64¢ | $191 | +$20 +11% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$40 +27% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 204 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $185 | +$15 +9.1% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$44 +32% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $180 | +$42 +30% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$27 +19% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,400 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $168 | −$84 −33% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 39¢ → 82¢ | $164 | +$86 +110% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 165 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $157 | +$8 +5.4% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 82¢ → 51¢ | $154 | −$92 −37% |
| Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 161 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $152 | +$12 +8.5% |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Ends in 20d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$24 +19% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 148 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $147 | +$40 +37% |
| Will Republicans win 18% or more of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 141 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $133 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 136 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $129 | +$4 +3.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $121 | +$9 +8.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $103 | +$28 +38% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?Ends in 195d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 453 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $93 | −$29 −24% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 86¢ | $86 | −$8 −8.0% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Ends in 195d | No | 97 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $84 | +$7 +8.8% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,635 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $81 | −$89 −52% |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 103 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $77 | +$12 +18% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 277 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $54 | −$39 −42% |
| Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 59 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $48 | −$2 −3.9% |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | Yes | 140 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $41 | −$3 −7.0% |
| Will Republicans win 16–17% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 39 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 39 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $24 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?Ends in 195d | No | 24 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 20¢ | $20 | −$74 −78% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 726 | 88¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$624 −98% |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 18 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $14 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 18 | 60¢ → 71¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 59¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Ends in 195d | Yes | 53 | 8¢ → 21¢ | $11 | +$7 +163% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$7 −43% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?Ends in 195d | Yes | 92 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $9 | +$5 +102% |
| Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?Ends in 17d | Yes | 18 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 27 | 20¢ → 22¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 23 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $3 | +$1 +34% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Ends in 195d | Yes | 96 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$1 −30% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,058 | 12¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$124 −98% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $3 | +$1 +47% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$20 −90% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Ends in 195d | No | 2 | 49¢ → 57¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$2 −71% |
| Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 1 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$264 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 994 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$510 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 276 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 800 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
