| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 30,332 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $28,770 | +$3,859 +15% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 26,545 | 55¢ → 79¢ | $20,957 | +$6,289 +43% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20,330 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $19,527 | +$2,893 +17% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 15,043 | 16¢ → 98¢ | $14,810 | +$12,380 +510% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12,782 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $12,424 | +$2,033 +20% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,889 | 21¢ → 97¢ | $11,515 | +$9,007 +359% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11,188 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $11,020 | +$1,419 +15% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,167 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $8,167 | +$1,228 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,006 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $8,006 | +$1,380 +21% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 8,164 | 26¢ → 97¢ | $7,948 | +$5,828 +275% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 37,473 | 37¢ → 21¢ | $7,888 | −$5,873 −43% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,363 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $6,314 | +$1,287 +26% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,864 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $5,864 | +$789 +16% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,879 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5,758 | +$501 +9.5% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5,548 | 64¢ → 98¢ | $5,457 | +$1,897 +53% |
| Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,400 | 1¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | +$5,338 +8660% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,132 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5,011 | +$464 +10% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,468 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $4,468 | +$313 +7.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 4,694 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $4,274 | +$429 +11% |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,711 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $3,709 | +$189 +5.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Ends in 74d | No | 3,752 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $3,624 | +$1,411 +64% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 3,420 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,302 | +$36 +1.1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 3,681 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $3,294 | −$18 −0.6% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 3,304 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $3,266 | +$37 +1.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,323 | 14¢ → 96¢ | $3,181 | +$2,731 +606% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 5,009 | 22¢ → 57¢ | $2,880 | +$1,785 +163% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 9,844 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $2,707 | −$582 −18% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 3,077 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $2,672 | −$222 −7.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 2,702 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,619 | +$54 +2.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,527 | 13¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$2,205 +685% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,770 | 45¢ → 50¢ | $2,385 | +$259 +12% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 2,367 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,342 | +$99 +4.4% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,971 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,964 | +$72 +3.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,777 | 52¢ → 65¢ | $1,791 | +$354 +25% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,516 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,490 | +$17 +1.2% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 2,870 | 70¢ → 50¢ | $1,435 | −$574 −29% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 1,426 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,413 | +$34 +2.5% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,402 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$161 +13% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,371 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $1,360 | +$386 +40% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,361 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1,359 | +$21 +1.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14,550 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $1,346 | +$1,250 +1307% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,352 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,314 | +$84 +6.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,442 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $1,305 | +$94 +7.7% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,479 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $1,270 | −$284 −18% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,926 | 49¢ → 63¢ | $1,204 | +$257 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1,801 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $1,180 | +$216 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,786 | 53¢ → 64¢ | $1,134 | +$186 +20% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 1,171 | 98¢ → 96¢ | $1,128 | −$16 −1.4% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,728 | 2¢ → 14¢ | $1,101 | +$916 +494% |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 1,081 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1,077 | +$13 +1.3% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,145 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $1,048 | +$149 +17% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 891 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $891 | +$20 +2.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14,481 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $818 | +$658 +412% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 800 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $779 | +$22 +2.9% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 4,150 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $768 | −$9 −1.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5,631 | 54¢ → 13¢ | $741 | −$2,283 −76% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,402 | 3¢ → 17¢ | $729 | +$581 +395% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 747 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $727 | +$118 +19% |
| Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 727 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $723 | +$9 +1.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,704 | 24¢ → 15¢ | $713 | −$399 −36% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 74d | No | 741 | 61¢ → 96¢ | $707 | +$257 +57% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 696 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $670 | −$6 −0.9% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 20,374 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $662 | +$390 +143% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 22,355 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $659 | +$417 +172% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,970 | 33¢ → 6¢ | $603 | −$3,064 −84% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 603 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $603 | +$22 +3.8% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,942 | 62¢ → 9¢ | $590 | −$3,698 −86% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,565 | 18¢ → 10¢ | $529 | −$466 −47% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 523 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $508 | +$71 +16% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 2,259 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $474 | +$98 +26% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,022 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $468 | −$406 −46% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,172 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $454 | +$306 +207% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 901 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $450 | +$13 +2.9% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 3,786 | 5¢ → 12¢ | $435 | +$236 +119% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,204 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $428 | −$216 −34% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 309 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $309 | +$7 +2.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 306 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $303 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 630 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $299 | +$40 +15% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,251 | <1¢ → 13¢ | $296 | +$286 +2765% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 15,652 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $290 | +$127 +78% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 14,842 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $289 | +$54 +23% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 288 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $288 | +$10 +3.8% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 10,482 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $278 | +$214 +338% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 9,920 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $273 | +$190 +231% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 275 | 20¢ → 97¢ | $267 | +$212 +381% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,096 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $266 | −$1,014 −79% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 270 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $266 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 271 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $266 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | No | 271 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $264 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 7,382 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $255 | −$84 −25% |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 509 | 46¢ → 50¢ | $255 | +$21 +9.1% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 3,601 | 26¢ → 7¢ | $252 | −$693 −73% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 272 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $250 | +$16 +6.9% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 238 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $237 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 231 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $231 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 11,778 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $230 | +$151 +190% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 13,921 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $223 | +$131 +144% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 221 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $220 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $218 | +$17 +8.6% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 225 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $217 | +$35 +19% |
