Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | bigricke | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,839 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | GCNO19 fills | April 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $50,757 | +$448 +0.9% | 4 |
| 169d | Trustinghorse2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,119 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 169d |  Yiyou | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$22 +2.1% | 4 |
| 169d | Degenerate-Dude | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,451 | −$49 −2.0% | — |
| 169d | Vladpoutino2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 170d |  autisem | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,636 | −$34 −2.1% | — |
| 170d | Doriath | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$26 +1.6% | 4 |
| 171d | Laurenman2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,275 | +$417 +2.6% | 5 |
| 171d | Degenerate-Dude | April 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | +$63 +2.6% | 5 |
| 171d |  anotherpatrick2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,008 | +$601 +15% | 4 |
| 171d | Solid-AirfareNew account | April 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,500 | +$700 +4.0% | 7 |
| 171d | misko15 fills | April 30 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $7,516 | +$1,751 +23% | 4 |
| 171d |  Fuentes31 | April 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,521 | −$214 −4.7% | — |
| 172d | Solid-AirfareNew account | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,844 | −$156 −2.0% | — |
| 172d | 123pocky2 fills | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | −$38 −1.0% | — |
| 173d | Huludubu | April 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,464 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 173d | Pantheon1 | April 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 173d | Skinny-Class10 fills | April 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $29,172 | −$2,028 −7.0% | — |
| 173d | 123pocky | April 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$105 +5.3% | 5 |
| 173d |  CornMusketeer | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | −$152 −7.3% | — |
| 174d | Unwelcome-Opponent | April 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$137 +6.4% | 4 |
| 175d |  Valen9 | April 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,391 | +$216 +6.4% | 4 |
| 176d |  dadipredicting | April 30 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,164 | +$654 +9.1% | 5 |
| 176d | CornMusketeer | April 30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$221 +11% | 5 |
| 176d | Leviathan18322 fills | April 30 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,895 | +$538 +19% | 4 |
| 176d | Skinny-Class12 fills | April 30 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $26,118 | +$3,582 +14% | 4 |
| 176d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | April 30 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | −$220 −12% | — |
| 176d | Leviathan18322 fills | April 30 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | −$524 −17% | — |
| 176d |  suraxy | April 30 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$325 −11% | — |
| 176d |  iutwpfal | April 30 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$100 −9.9% | — |
| 176d | suraxy | April 30 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$130 +8.7% | 5 |
| 177d |  paddaa5 fills | April 30 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,984 +20% | 4 |
| 178d |  eightpenguins | April 30 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | −$342 −14% | — |
| 181d | KrackenSruster | April 30 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,466 | −$514 −9.4% | — |
| 181d | Sticky-Closing2 fills | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | −$233 −7.1% | — |
| 181d | paddaa3 fills | April 30 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,595 | −$703 −11% | — |
| 181d |  FTX2.0 | April 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$70 −6.4% | — |
| 182d | Huludubu4 fills | April 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,644 | +$621 +9.3% | 4 |
| 182d | Eatpraylove | April 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,113 | −$199 −6.4% | — |
| 183d | nonkenny905 fills | April 30 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$1,801 +24% | 4 |
| 183d | Sticky-Closing | April 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | +$127 +5.3% | 4 |
| 183d |  SheepToken2 fills | April 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,797 | −$286 −7.5% | — |
| 184d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,578 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 184d | fivehouse | April 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 184d | Kdjdjd | April 30 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | −$238 −10% | — |
| 185d | Kdjdjd | April 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 |
| 186d | JoeBlack01 | April 30 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$177 −15% | — |
| 186d | Valen9 | April 15 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | +$31 +1.5% | 4 |
| 187d | nonkenny90 | April 15 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$31 +2.7% | 4 |
| 187d | paddaa3 fills | April 15 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,183 | −$241 −4.6% | — |
| 187d | AnonSequitur2 fills | April 15 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,236 | +$236 +3.8% | 5 |
| 188d | Huludubu5 fills | April 15 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $15,216 | +$970 +6.4% | 4 |
| 188d |  scottilicious2 fills | April 15 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,225 | +$453 +4.9% | 4 |
| 188d | Skinny-Class | April 15 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,869 | −$131 −7.0% | — |
| 188d | AvishaiBass | April 15 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,833 | +$212 +3.6% | 5 |
| 188d | Fuentes31 | April 15 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | −$84 −5.9% | — |
| 189d | Kdjdjd | April 15 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$38 −3.3% | — |
| 189d | Doriath | April 15 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | −$49 −3.3% | — |
| 189d | Skinny-Class | April 15 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,216 | +$84 +7.0% | 4 |
starbuck026,494 shares
tetrose5,000 shares
GorillaGang50 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 0%.