| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 187,707 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $158,612 | +$10,194 +6.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 30,061 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $29,595 | +$2,886 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 27,807 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $25,165 | −$500 −1.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26,204 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $23,191 | +$3,595 +18% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 19,909 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $18,018 | +$1,772 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 14,516 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $14,204 | +$3,306 +30% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 22,226 | 47¢ → 45¢ | $9,891 | −$608 −5.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 9,700 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $9,385 | −$47 −0.5% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 9,136 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $8,921 | +$1,158 +15% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 9,194 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $7,539 | +$159 +2.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 6,284 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5,976 | +$51 +0.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,019 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $5,651 | −$117 −2.0% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,803 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $5,637 | +$1,245 +28% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5,235 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $5,109 | +$464 +10.0% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 5,387 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5,037 | +$201 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5,146 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $4,945 | +$616 +14% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,303 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $4,640 | +$114 +2.5% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4,385 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $4,236 | +$264 +6.7% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 4,033 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $3,968 | +$18 +0.5% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,642 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $3,096 | −$32 −1.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,352 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $2,913 | +$244 +9.2% |
| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?Ends in 2d | No | 2,915 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,877 | +$4 +0.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 3,011 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $2,785 | +$6 +0.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,710 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $2,547 | +$450 +21% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 10h | No | 2,154 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $2,152 | +$87 +4.2% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 2,633 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $2,135 | −$44 −2.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,469 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $2,062 | +$249 +14% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,220 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $2,030 | +$434 +27% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,673 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $2,005 | +$538 +37% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,290 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $2,004 | +$176 +9.6% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,645 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $1,997 | −$178 −8.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 52¢ → 65¢ | $1,946 | +$381 +24% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,149 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $1,945 | +$186 +11% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,566 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $1,833 | −$294 −14% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,821 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $1,721 | +$354 +26% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,715 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,646 | +$84 +5.4% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,760 | 60¢ → 94¢ | $1,646 | +$583 +55% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,651 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,601 | +$92 +6.1% |
| Will Millwall FC win on 2026-10-17?Ends ended | No | 1,570 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1,569 | +$50 +3.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,665 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $1,540 | +$620 +67% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,645 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $1,538 | +$86 +6.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?Ends in 1d | No | 1,500 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,486 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,707 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $1,476 | +$37 +2.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,543 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $1,467 | +$278 +23% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,700 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $1,419 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 1,446 | 74¢ → 94¢ | $1,352 | +$286 +27% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,724 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $1,326 | −$136 −9.3% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,324 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $1,282 | +$155 +14% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,354 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $1,280 | +$166 +15% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,550 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $1,279 | −$30 −2.3% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,374 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $1,223 | +$81 +7.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,390 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $1,188 | −$10 −0.8% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 1,426 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $1,048 | −$61 −5.5% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,152 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $1,037 | +$153 +17% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,034 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,007 | +$20 +2.0% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,054 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $964 | +$36 +3.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 939 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $931 | +$44 +4.9% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 932 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $890 | +$66 +8.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 977 | 50¢ → 90¢ | $879 | +$395 +82% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 928 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $868 | +$39 +4.7% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 864 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $830 | +$55 +7.1% |
| Will Eminem release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 977 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $826 | +$68 +8.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | Yes | 900 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $824 | −$5 −0.5% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 41¢ → 27¢ | $820 | −$413 −34% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 10h | Yes | 823 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $810 | +$9 +1.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,110 | 91¢ → 73¢ | $805 | −$205 −20% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 850 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $803 | +$17 +2.2% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 863 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $799 | +$249 +45% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 898 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $786 | +$32 +4.3% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?Ends in 1d | No | 790 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $784 | +$11 +1.4% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 10h | Yes | 791 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $780 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1,018 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $779 | +$60 +8.4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 865 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $757 | −$10 −1.3% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 795 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $741 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 790 | 68¢ → 92¢ | $727 | +$187 +35% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 734 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $717 | +$101 +16% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 698 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $675 | +$22 +3.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 787 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $673 | +$67 +11% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,496 | 69¢ → 18¢ | $629 | −$1,770 −74% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 10h | No | 612 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $609 | +$12 +2.0% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 610 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $599 | +$46 +8.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 766 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $594 | −$7 −1.2% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 777 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $587 | −$8 −1.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 666 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $583 | +$97 +20% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 611 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $574 | +$37 +6.9% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 665 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $572 | +$7 +1.2% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 633 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $567 | +$95 +20% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 623 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $561 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 9d | Yes | 590 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $560 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 565 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $552 | +$5 +0.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 575 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $540 | +$93 +21% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 544 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $530 | +$35 +7.1% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 546 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $528 | +$4 +0.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?Ends in 1d | No | 537 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $523 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 766 | 81¢ → 68¢ | $517 | −$101 −16% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 544 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $498 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 500 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $477 | +$6 +1.3% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 575 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $469 | +$81 +21% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 533 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $458 | +$11 +2.4% |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 454 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $447 | +$25 +5.8% |
