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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2,600 | 2% | −2 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $56.9K | in 2d |
| ↑ 3,100 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $42.2K | in 2d |
| ↑ 3,200 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $24K | in 2d |
| ↓ 2,200 | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $18.1K | in 2d |
| ↑ 2,700 | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $8.85K | in 2d |
| ↓ 2,300 | 3% | −1 pts | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $6.67K | in 2d |
| ↓ 2,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $5.09K | in 2d |
| ↑ 2,800 | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $5.06K | in 2d |
| ↑ 3,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $4.85K | in 2d |
| ↓ 2,100 | <1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.63K | in 2d |
| ↑ 2,500 | 12% | −35 pts | — | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | $3.56K | in 2d |
| ↓ 1,800 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $3.55K | in 2d |
| ↓ 1,900 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.41K | in 2d |
| ↑ 2,900 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $246 | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | chet010 | ↑ 2,700 | BuyNo99¢ | $1,676 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 2h |  ZeinST | ↑ 3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,166 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5h | predictrader | ↑ 3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6h |  Facaie | ↑ 2,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,683 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 6h | Facaie | ↓ 1,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6h | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 6h | Facaie | ↑ 3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10h | chet0102 fills | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $2,624 | +$63 +2.4% | 2 |
| 10h |  GoodLuck688862 fills | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo98¢ | $3,438 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14h | Maie | ↑ 3,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 15h | beatyesterday2 fills | ↓ 2,100 | BuyNo96¢ → >99¢ | $9,001 | +$348 +3.9% | 3 |
| 20h | yaokan2 fills | ↑ 3,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,366 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 21h |  LiMoon | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,655 | +$18 +1.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  olegs | ↓ 1,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,194 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | olegs3 fills | ↑ 3,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,896 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | yaokan | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,529 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $4,314 | +$229 +5.3% | 3 |
| 1d | betwett-monthly | ↑ 2,800 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 2d | JnStPrdctns | ↓ 2,200 | SellNo84¢ → 99¢ | $3,772 | −$671 −18% | — |
| 2d | JnStPrdctns | ↑ 2,700 | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $4,078 | −$52 −1.3% | — |
| 2d | getbipped | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo55¢ → 97¢ | $2,197 | +$1,666 +76% | 8 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,100 | BuyNo96¢ → >99¢ | $2,124 | +$94 +4.4% | 3 |
| 2d | AndreyGG | ↑ 2,900 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,300 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 2d | beatyesterday | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $1,571 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 2d | beatyesterday3 fills | ↓ 1,900 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,171 | +$38 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | beatyesterday3 fills | ↑ 3,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,988 | +$31 +0.8% | 2 |
| 2d | beatyesterday | ↑ 2,900 | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $2,549 | +$42 +1.6% | 2 |
| 2d | beatyesterday3 fills | ↑ 2,800 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,954 | +$64 +1.3% | 2 |
| 3d | getbipped | ↑ 2,600 | BuyYes26¢ → 2¢ | $1,040 | −$974 −94% | 3 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo65¢ → 98¢ | $3,433 | +$1,770 +52% | 4 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 2,700 | BuyNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,500 | +$192 +13% | 4 |
| 3d | Chepell-plus | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 12-18? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,907 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 4d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $1,086 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 4d | JnStPrdctns | ↑ 2,700 | BuyNo84¢ → 99¢ | $3,563 | +$647 +18% | 5 |
| 4d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,980 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
JMLL1,500 sharesGoodLuck688863,830 shares
TCBY66881,091 sharesWhat price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for ↑ 2,600 means the market gives it about 2%.