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Polymarket · World
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 13% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | FlyingPlaty | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,242 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 45d | nonkenny902 fills | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 88¢ | $3,449 | +$60 +1.7% | 20 |
| 78d | charlatta | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 83d | zecach | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,692 | +$29 +1.1% | 20 |
| 83d | zecach | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,422 | +$278 +11% | 20 |
Warren-Buffett4,750 shares
gods-eye2,500 shares
Avitz33427 shares
Spirit-LT386 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 13%.
