| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,757 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $2,545 | −$1,782 −41% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,642 | 38¢ → 82¢ | $1,338 | +$710 +113% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,128 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $1,096 | +$104 +10% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,102 | 32¢ → 64¢ | $700 | +$348 +99% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,061 | 31¢ → 26¢ | $526 | −$108 −17% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,432 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $516 | −$1,653 −76% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 737 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $497 | +$131 +36% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 344 | 58¢ → 94¢ | $322 | +$121 +60% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 262 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $229 | +$30 +15% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 216 | 47¢ → 90¢ | $194 | +$92 +91% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,308 | 39¢ → 5¢ | $165 | −$1,117 −87% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,398 | 45¢ → 11¢ | $154 | −$480 −76% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 760 | 39¢ → 20¢ | $148 | −$148 −50% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 421 | 19¢ → 26¢ | $109 | +$29 +37% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 519 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $109 | −$21 −16% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 969 | 30¢ → 10¢ | $97 | −$195 −67% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 175 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $74 | −$8 −9.6% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 579 | 29¢ → 13¢ | $72 | −$95 −57% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 49¢ → 14¢ | $70 | −$173 −71% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 169 | 7¢ → 40¢ | $67 | +$56 +493% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 531 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $66 | −$8 −11% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 445 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $56 | −$21 −27% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 223 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $52 | +$12 +29% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 7,604 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $49 | −$220 −82% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 110 | 11¢ → 40¢ | $44 | +$31 +248% |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 530 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $40 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 411 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $33 | +$13 +68% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 261 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $24 | −$10 −31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 165 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $21 | +$6 +39% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 21 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 57 | 1¢ → 34¢ | $20 | +$19 +2583% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 19 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $19 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 243 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $18 | −$28 −61% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 69 | 7¢ → 24¢ | $17 | +$12 +237% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 15 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $14 | +$4 +34% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $12 | +$11 +938% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 341 | 35¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$108 −91% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 110 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $8 | −$5 −36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 116 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $7 | +$5 +176% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 94 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$6 −48% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$23 −83% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $3 | +$2 +383% |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $3 | +$1 +50% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 45 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $2 | +$1 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 70 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.6% |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 34 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 70 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −67% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,036 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$407 −100% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 639 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,876 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,363 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,525 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$593 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,917 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,343 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 366 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,982 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,960 −100% |
| LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 405 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$347 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23,983 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$853 −100% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 971 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,641 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,025 −100% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,644 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$328 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 160 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,647 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$334 −100% |
| Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,059 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,846 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,001 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,333 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,473 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$471 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28,410 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$849 −100% |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,831 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,335 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,524 −100% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$958 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,847 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$136 −100% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 920 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,181 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$363 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 707 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,523 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$937 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33,948 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,216 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,265 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,286 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$416 −100% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,885 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$283 −100% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,585 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$422 −100% |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 546 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,056 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
