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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott (R) | 77% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 77¢ · 77¢ (<1¢) | $1.84K | in 18d |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | 24% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $1.4K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | l3t0 | Greg Abbott (R) | SellYes77¢ | $1,989 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Viper2333 | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes78¢ → 77¢ | $1,000 | −$18 −1.8% | 25 |
| 3d |  mrworldwide | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes80¢ → 77¢ | $3,840 | −$163 −4.3% | 23 |
| 3d | sollydisa | Greg Abbott (R) | SellNo21¢ → 23¢ | $1,676 | −$196 −12% | — |
| 5d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | Gina Hinojosa (D) | SellNo80¢ → 77¢ | $2,449 | +$108 +4.4% | — |
| 8d | purplegatto | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes73¢ → 77¢ | $1,762 | +$88 +5.0% | 28 |
| 10d |  NotHarrisonHohman4 fills | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes79¢ → 77¢ | $11,000 | −$300 −2.7% | 24 |
| 11d | Magician5342 | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyNo73¢ → 77¢ | $2,231 | +$107 +4.8% | 28 |
| 12d |  BigRabbit | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyYes26¢ → 24¢ | $1,300 | −$125 −9.6% | 31 |
| 12d |  seal7 | Greg Abbott (R) | SellNo25¢ → 23¢ | $4,379 | +$232 +5.3% | — |
| 14d | seal7 | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyYes22¢ → 24¢ | $1,580 | +$99 +6.3% | 32 |
| 14d | seal7 | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyNo18¢ → 23¢ | $3,133 | +$1,015 +32% | 37 |
| 16d | uponlyyy | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes81¢ → 77¢ | $5,000 | −$289 −5.8% | 22 |
| 19d | nfadyor10 fills | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes81¢ → 77¢ | $46,004 | −$2,277 −4.9% | 23 |
| 19d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyNo83¢ → 77¢ | $2,915 | −$243 −8.3% | 21 |
| 19d | alex200112 fills | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyNo81¢ → 77¢ | $2,635 | −$149 −5.6% | 23 |
| 20d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyNo80¢ → 77¢ | $1,600 | −$70 −4.4% | 23 |
| 23d | maxwell3 | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes73¢ → 77¢ | $5,932 | +$278 +4.7% | 28 |
| 24d |  LiquidatedDegen | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyYes37¢ → 24¢ | $1,357 | −$505 −37% | 31 |
| 24d |  bernardbulletin | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyYes29¢ → 24¢ | $1,768 | −$316 −18% | 32 |
| 24d |  WongKimArk2 fills | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyYes19¢ → 24¢ | $2,311 | +$621 +27% | 35 |
| 24d | NotHarrisonHohman6 fills | Gina Hinojosa (D) | BuyNo86¢ → 77¢ | $8,277 | −$879 −11% | 20 |
| 50d |  Hyperlong | Greg Abbott (R) | BuyYes82¢ → 77¢ | $1,495 | −$104 −7.0% | 22 |
| 78d |  HukaBars | Gina Hinojosa (D) | SellNo92¢ → 77¢ | $1,829 | +$300 +16% | — |
NotHarrisonHohman16,482 shares
ImJustKen5,655 sharesmrworldwide4,800 sharesHyperlong4,847 shares
nnimrodd3,470 sharesWongKimArk3,000 shares
AnEggplant2,243 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 77¢ for Greg Abbott (R) means the market gives it about 77%.