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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 15d |
| December 31 | 17% | — | −1 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $35 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | Welostbetting | December 31 | SellNo87¢ → 84¢ | $2,276 | +$89 +3.9% | — |
| 21d |  johnnyA2 fills | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,586 | +$32 +0.9% | 20 |
| 42d | Welostbetting | December 31 | BuyNo53¢ → 84¢ | $1,138 | +$655 +58% | 40 |
aliiz78 shares
2B9S62 shares
Parz1vaI131 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 2%.