| Will MrBeast's next video get between 260 and 270 million views on week 2?Ends in 8h | No | 24 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Ends in 8h | No | 23 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$3 +16% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 23 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $22 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.2% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $21 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $21 | +$2 +9.3% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 22 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?Ends in 8d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $21 | +$2 +10% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 21 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$2 +9.7% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $21 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Ends in 11d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 23 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 23 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 22 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.2% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 22 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $21 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 21 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?Ends in 17d | No | 23 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 23 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 22 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 23 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Ends in 12d | No | 21 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 20 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.2% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 22 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will Jan Hušbauer be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | No | 20 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 23 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 21 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 23 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | No | 21 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will José Francisco Gálvez Tineo win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.1% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will José María Alberto Arcila Corales win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $20 | $0 0.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Ends in 3d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Variational launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Elisson win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 20 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $20 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Ends in 17d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $20 | $0 0.0% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 22 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 23 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?Ends ended | No | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 23 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 24 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
