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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 55% | +8 pts | +8 pts | 54¢ · 55¢ (1¢) | $723 | in 18d |
| John Thune | 25% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | — | in 18d |
| Brian Schatz | 8% | — | −1 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | — | in 18d |
| Tom Cotton | 6% | +2 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 18d |
| Chris Van Hollen | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 18d |
| Cory Booker | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 18d |
| Patty Murray | 2% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 18d |
| Steve Daines | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 18d |
| John Barrasso | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 18d |
| Amy Klobuchar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | coali10 | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,778 | +$38 +0.1% | 10 |
| 97d |  paddaa2 fills | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 115d |  cookiejar | John Thune | BuyNo56¢ → 76¢ | $1,703 | +$588 +35% | 10 |
| 207d |  TNGo | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | −$1,641 −69% | — |
| 207d | TNGo | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,882 | +$120 +3.1% | 10 |
| 207d |  ETOROKing | Steve Daines | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $8,700 | +$144 +1.6% | 10 |
Rr551,072 shares
bernardbulletin608 shares
ScottyNooo437 shares
Isengard1393 shares
macrosteaks329 shares
Haradwaith124 shares
Kastellvalen86 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 55¢ for Chuck Schumer means the market gives it about 55%.