| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 4,198 | 40¢ → 63¢ | $2,623 | +$938 +56% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 481 | 41¢ → 81¢ | $389 | +$192 +98% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 586 | 33¢ → 56¢ | $325 | +$132 +69% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 273 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $239 | +$37 +18% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $214 | +$14 +7.1% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $200 | +$23 +13% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | No | 237 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $180 | +$2 +1.4% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 166 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $154 | +$4 +2.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | Yes | 616 | 30¢ → 24¢ | $148 | −$40 −21% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 245 | 76¢ → 57¢ | $141 | −$45 −24% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | Yes | 404 | 22¢ → 35¢ | $139 | +$51 +57% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 145 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $134 | +$41 +45% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 458 | 10¢ → 27¢ | $121 | +$73 +154% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 738 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $114 | −$63 −36% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | No | 251 | 79¢ → 45¢ | $112 | −$86 −43% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $107 | +$32 +43% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 111 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $106 | +$20 +23% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 117 | 25¢ → 83¢ | $97 | +$67 +230% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 102 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $95 | +$19 +26% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,947 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $94 | −$92 −49% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $91 | +$41 +83% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 56¢ → 89¢ | $79 | +$29 +58% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 174 | 29¢ → 43¢ | $74 | +$23 +45% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 68 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $67 | +$17 +33% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 75d | No | 66 | 41¢ → 97¢ | $64 | +$37 +135% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $63 | +$13 +26% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 17d | No | 76 | 66¢ → 77¢ | $58 | +$8 +17% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 72 | 47¢ → 81¢ | $58 | +$24 +73% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 67 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $54 | +$4 +8.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 63 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $53 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 65 | 36¢ → 81¢ | $52 | +$29 +124% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 72 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 56 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $52 | +$2 +3.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 52 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $48 | +$9 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 137 | 36¢ → 34¢ | $47 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 63 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $42 | −$6 −12% |
| Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 643 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $42 | −$158 −79% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16,572 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $41 | −$273 −87% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 165 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $40 | −$16 −28% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 51 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 66¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$12 +47% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 44 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $38 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 64¢ → 48¢ | $37 | −$13 −26% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 145 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $36 | −$10 −22% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 35 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 550 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $35 | −$14 −28% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 187 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $35 | −$16 −31% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 345 | 40¢ → 10¢ | $35 | −$103 −75% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 98 | 51¢ → 35¢ | $34 | −$16 −33% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $33 | +$6 +22% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 70 | 30¢ → 46¢ | $32 | +$11 +56% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 33 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 145 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $31 | −$5 −13% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 301 | 60¢ → 10¢ | $30 | −$151 −83% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Ends in 825d | No | 125 | 40¢ → 24¢ | $30 | −$20 −40% |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 74¢ | $30 | −$8 −22% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 78 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 684 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $29 | −$167 −85% |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?Ends ended | Up | 100 | 1¢ → 28¢ | $29 | +$28 +2750% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 396 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $28 | −$27 −49% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 107 | 46¢ → 25¢ | $27 | −$22 −46% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 31 | 56¢ → 83¢ | $26 | +$8 +47% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 206 | 47¢ → 13¢ | $26 | −$71 −73% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 229 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $25 | −$9 −26% |
| Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 312 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $24 | −$26 −52% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $24 | −$3 −10.0% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 17d | Yes | 102 | 48¢ → 23¢ | $23 | −$25 −52% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 284 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $23 | −$8 −26% |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 158 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $22 | −$28 −56% |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 20 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$5 +36% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 132 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $19 | −$31 −62% |
| Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 842 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$30 −62% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 36 | 72¢ → 52¢ | $19 | −$7 −28% |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Ends in 134d | No | 20 | 56¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$7 +61% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 92 | 55¢ → 20¢ | $18 | −$33 −65% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 147 | 34¢ → 12¢ | $18 | −$32 −65% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 26 | 49¢ → 68¢ | $17 | +$5 +37% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 17 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $17 | +$3 +20% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$6 −25% |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 287 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $15 | −$32 −69% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 27¢ → 8¢ | $14 | −$35 −71% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 202 | 24¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$36 −73% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 67 | 76¢ → 19¢ | $13 | −$38 −75% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 297 | 16¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$36 −74% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 15 | 58¢ → 81¢ | $12 | +$3 +39% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 340 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$29 −70% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 417 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$39 −78% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 93 | 57¢ → 12¢ | $11 | −$42 −80% |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 105 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $11 | −$7 −39% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 13 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 95 | 47¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$35 −78% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 314 | 64¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$193 −95% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$7 −43% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 60¢ → 28¢ | $9 | −$11 −53% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.4% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 54 | 67¢ → 17¢ | $9 | −$27 −75% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,050 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$176 −95% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Ends in 440d | No | 13 | 80¢ → 66¢ | $8 | −$2 −18% |
