| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 630 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $381 | −$3 −0.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 36d | No | 513 | 53¢ → 51¢ | $262 | −$12 −4.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 420 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $223 | −$10 −4.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $204 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $202 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $199 | −$1 −0.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $195 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 284 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $194 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 301 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $194 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 220 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $194 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $192 | −$10 −5.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 420 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $187 | −$6 −3.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $173 | −$12 −6.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 220 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $171 | −$11 −6.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 210 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $166 | +$2 +1.3% |
| Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 220 | 89¢ → 75¢ | $164 | −$32 −16% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 75d | No | 210 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $161 | −$7 −4.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $160 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 208 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $156 | +$5 +3.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 210 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $150 | −$5 −3.4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 210 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $142 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $140 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $133 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 214 | 53¢ → 55¢ | $117 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 220 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $116 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 210 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $113 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 127 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $113 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 158 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $110 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $98 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 220 | 40¢ → 45¢ | $98 | +$10 +11% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 210 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $98 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 53¢ → 46¢ | $96 | −$16 −14% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 114 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $93 | +$6 +6.5% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 251 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $91 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 10h | No | 210 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $89 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $89 | +$10 +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 420 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $82 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 337 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $79 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 210 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $79 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $77 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 137 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $76 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Ends in 106d | No | 78 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $73 | −$2 −2.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 22d | No | 210 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $70 | −$7 −9.5% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $67 | −$6 −7.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 90 | 79¢ → 72¢ | $64 | −$7 −9.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $62 | −$4 −5.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $59 | +$5 +9.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 64 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $53 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | No | 210 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $53 | −$4 −7.4% |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 210 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $50 | −$7 −11% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 210 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $45 | −$1 −2.3% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 128 | 23¢ → 35¢ | $45 | +$16 +53% |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends ended | Yes | 260 | 9¢ → 17¢ | $43 | +$20 +88% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $41 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 42 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 220 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $37 | +$4 +12% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 220 | 31¢ → 15¢ | $32 | −$36 −53% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 210 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $32 | $0 0.0% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 72 | 26¢ → 41¢ | $29 | +$11 +58% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | No | 640 | 15¢ → 5¢ | $29 | −$66 −69% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 330 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $28 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 72 | 39¢ → 39¢ | $28 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 29 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $27 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $27 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 233 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 92 | 37¢ → 29¢ | $27 | −$7 −22% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 31¢ → 12¢ | $26 | −$42 −62% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 220 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $24 | +$4 +22% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | No | 210 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $24 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $24 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 210 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $24 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 231 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 77 | 28¢ → 29¢ | $22 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 34 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 40 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $22 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 255 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $22 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 414 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $21 | −$6 −23% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Ends in 93d | Yes | 140 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $18 | +$9 +87% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $18 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 210 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $18 | −$3 −15% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $16 | −$7 −32% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 24 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $15 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 124 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $15 | −$1 −7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $14 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 101 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $14 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $14 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 31 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $13 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 17¢ → 24¢ | $12 | +$3 +38% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Ends in 83d | No | 12 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $11 | −$3 −19% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 210 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $11 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $11 | +$2 +26% |
| Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Ends in 440d | Yes | 206 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 220 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$1 −10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 210 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$1 +18% |
