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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Sand (D) | 89% | −1 pts | — | 88¢ · 89¢ (1¢) | $2.68K | in 18d |
| Zach Lahn (R) | 12% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | $2.08K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | scottorhino2 fills | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $3,078 | −$51 −1.7% | 17 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Zach Lahn (R) | SellNo89¢ | $1,127 | +$6 +0.6% | — |
| 3d |  HilelTheElder | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $4,248 | −$71 −1.7% | 17 |
| 3d | Flipbandit | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $2,070 | −$35 −1.7% | 17 |
| 3d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Zach Lahn (R) | BuyNo89¢ | $1,780 | −$10 −0.6% | 17 |
| 3d | FDTpuissance | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $2,069 | −$34 −1.6% | 17 |
| 3d | donthackme | Zach Lahn (R) | BuyNo89¢ | $1,335 | −$8 −0.6% | 17 |
| 3d | danypotter | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $2,063 | −$28 −1.3% | 17 |
| 3d | BuddhaYTorrance | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes89¢ | $2,057 | −$21 −1.0% | 17 |
| 3d | WarriorH | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes90¢ → 89¢ | $2,431 | −$41 −1.7% | 17 |
| 3d |  scottilicious | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes89¢ | $12,975 | −$73 −0.6% | 17 |
| 4d | PolBandit | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes89¢ | $9,238 | −$34 −0.4% | 17 |
| 9d |  bernardbulletin | Zach Lahn (R) | BuyNo86¢ → 89¢ | $1,064 | +$31 +2.9% | 19 |
| 12d |  AngryRhino2 fills | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes83¢ → 89¢ | $7,933 | +$475 +6.0% | 21 |
| 19d | AuspiciousArt | Rob Sand (D) | BuyYes86¢ → 89¢ | $2,753 | +$87 +3.2% | 19 |
| 24d | AngryRhino | Zach Lahn (R) | BuyNo82¢ → 89¢ | $2,028 | +$161 +7.9% | 22 |
| 41d |  Highboard | Rob Sand (D) | SellYes74¢ → 89¢ | $1,241 | −$243 −20% | — |
| 58d | Weighty-Forest | Zach Lahn (R) | BuyYes26¢ → 12¢ | $1,000 | −$560 −56% | 30 |
scottilicious14,578 sharesHilelTheElder4,720 shares
tunatyler2,823 shares
Chungvicular2,649 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 89¢ for Rob Sand (D) means the market gives it about 89%.