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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 52% | +5 pts | −10 pts | 50¢ · 53¢ (3¢) | $198 | in 31d |
| David Makhura | 25% | +1 pts | +25 pts | 17¢ · 33¢ (16¢) | $14 | in 31d |
| Frank Chikane | 7% | −2 pts | −7 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $42.2 | in 31d |
| Lukhona Mnguni | 7% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 31d |
| Loyiso Masuku | 6% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 6¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 31d |
| Kenny Kunene | 4% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 31d |
| Dada Morero | 1% | 0 pts | −5 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 31d |
| Herman Mashaba | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 31d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d |  FrozenParasite | Frank Chikane | BuyNo53¢ → 93¢ | $1,578 | +$1,188 +75% | 30 |
| 89d | FrozenParasite | Helen Zille | BuyNo35¢ → 49¢ | $3,024 | +$1,124 +37% | 33 |
| 116d |  RememberAmalek | Helen Zille | BuyYes50¢ → 52¢ | $1,273 | +$30 +2.4% | 30 |
| 121d | FrozenParasite | Herman Mashaba | BuyNo76¢ → 99¢ | $1,932 | +$596 +31% | 10 |
RememberAmalek1,681 shares
DuneMentat674 shares
macrosteaks306 shares
JohnnyBlaze1274 sharesFrozenParasite440 shares
toolatebuddy283 sharesMunicipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 52¢ for Helen Zille means the market gives it about 52%.