| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,128 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $3,654 | +$65 +1.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,011 | 52¢ → 77¢ | $3,094 | +$1,014 +49% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,251 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $2,178 | +$233 +12% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,460 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $2,079 | +$16 +0.8% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,287 | 53¢ → 79¢ | $1,797 | +$596 +50% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,860 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,693 | +$56 +3.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,462 | 60¢ → 48¢ | $1,645 | −$419 −20% |
| Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Ends ended | Yes | 1,668 | 48¢ → 97¢ | $1,621 | +$821 +102% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,262 | 85¢ → 72¢ | $1,617 | −$300 −16% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,689 | 47¢ → 90¢ | $1,512 | +$721 +91% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,771 | 16¢ → 40¢ | $1,490 | +$873 +141% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,653 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $1,298 | −$57 −4.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,400 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,267 | −$10 −0.8% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,200 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $1,080 | +$8 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,100 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $996 | +$50 +5.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,271 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $976 | −$41 −4.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 2,041 | 50¢ → 43¢ | $867 | −$162 −16% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,047 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $859 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 853 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $754 | +$48 +6.8% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?Ends in 8d | Yes | 746 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $718 | +$23 +3.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,406 | 37¢ → 48¢ | $668 | +$154 +30% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 722 | 75¢ → 91¢ | $653 | +$113 +21% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 700 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $627 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 699 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $623 | +$35 +5.9% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 835 | 44¢ → 72¢ | $597 | +$228 +62% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 630 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $595 | +$41 +7.4% |
| Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,072 | 35¢ → 55¢ | $584 | +$214 +58% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 569 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $560 | +$6 +1.0% |
| Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 683 | 64¢ → 82¢ | $560 | +$120 +27% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 770 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $558 | +$15 +2.7% |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 628 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $547 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 569 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $545 | +$64 +13% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 630 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $545 | +$24 +4.6% |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 87¢ → 75¢ | $524 | −$88 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $519 | −$29 −5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 810 | 77¢ → 64¢ | $514 | −$109 −17% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 998 | 51¢ → 49¢ | $491 | −$17 −3.3% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Ends in 8d | Yes | 500 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$25 +5.4% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 606 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $480 | −$8 −1.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,330 | 49¢ → 21¢ | $478 | −$671 −58% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,010 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $432 | −$13 −3.0% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 475 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $427 | +$3 +0.8% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 420 | 42¢ → 96¢ | $401 | +$226 +129% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 665 | 49¢ → 58¢ | $384 | +$60 +18% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 413 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $382 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 8d | No | 400 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $359 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 364 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $358 | +$15 +4.4% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 374 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $357 | +$37 +12% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 486 | 84¢ → 71¢ | $347 | −$60 −15% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 353 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $338 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $328 | +$5 +1.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $318 | +$8 +2.6% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 400 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $310 | −$30 −8.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 506 | 68¢ → 60¢ | $301 | −$44 −13% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,163 | 41¢ → 25¢ | $285 | −$196 −41% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 300 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 310 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $273 | +$62 +30% |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 319 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $266 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 281 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $264 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 300 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $255 | +$7 +2.8% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $254 | +$4 +1.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $242 | −$12 −4.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 580 | 61¢ → 42¢ | $241 | −$112 −32% |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 284 | 34¢ → 80¢ | $227 | +$130 +135% |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 523 | 32¢ → 43¢ | $225 | +$58 +35% |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Ends ended | Yes | 298 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $218 | +$11 +5.5% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 226 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $212 | +$42 +24% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 385 | 58¢ → 55¢ | $210 | −$15 −6.5% |
| Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 214 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $201 | +$13 +6.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 205 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $200 | +$13 +7.0% |
| Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Ends ended | Yes | 540 | 73¢ → 37¢ | $200 | −$193 −49% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | No | 210 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $196 | +$16 +8.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 210 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $196 | +$1 +0.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 210 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $196 | +$20 +11% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 29d | Yes | 230 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $193 | +$9 +5.1% |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$14 +7.9% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$4 +2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | Yes | 200 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$18 +10% |
| Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $191 | +$7 +3.7% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 226 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $187 | +$5 +2.6% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 221 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $185 | −$18 −9.1% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $183 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 186 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $179 | +$6 +3.3% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended | Yes | 222 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $173 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 381 | 33¢ → 45¢ | $171 | +$44 +34% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 72¢ → 57¢ | $171 | −$44 −20% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 400 | 26¢ → 43¢ | $170 | +$65 +61% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$20 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $159 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 256d | No | 286 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $159 | −$41 −21% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 45¢ → 31¢ | $155 | −$70 −31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 153 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $147 | +$5 +3.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 300 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $143 | −$20 −12% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 147 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $139 | +$9 +7.2% |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 401 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $138 | −$6 −4.2% |
| Will Josh Morgan win the 2026 London mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 150 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $132 | +$22 +20% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 200 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $125 | +$29 +30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 60¢ → 63¢ | $125 | +$5 +4.2% |
