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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑12.5k | 6% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑4.75k | >99% | +3 pts | +3 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑7.5k | 28% | +9 pts | +11 pts | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $2.74K | in 76d |
| ↑6.5k | 78% | +27 pts | +22 pts | 74¢ · 82¢ (8¢) | $1.71K | in 76d |
| ↑7k | 59% | +35 pts | +30 pts | 53¢ · 65¢ (12¢) | $579 | in 76d |
| ↑5k | 98% | 0 pts | +5 pts | 96¢ · >99¢ (4¢) | $471 | in 76d |
| ↑6k | 88% | +4 pts | +14 pts | 87¢ · 88¢ (1¢) | $178 | in 76d |
| ↑4.5k | >99% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $174 | in 76d |
| ↑10k | 7% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $141 | in 76d |
| ↑5.5k | 96% | +7 pts | +8 pts | 93¢ · >99¢ (7¢) | $100 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Nobody23041 | ↑5k | BuyYes94¢ → 98¢ | $1,069 | +$44 +4.1% | 8 |
| 23d | nverg | ↑5k | SellYes70¢ → 98¢ | $6,440 | −$2,562 −40% | — |
| 23d | bajias | ↑5k | SellYes70¢ → 98¢ | $7,560 | −$3,008 −40% | — |
| 23d | lijing-213 | ↑5k | SellYes70¢ → 98¢ | $4,480 | −$1,782 −40% | — |
| 23d | nazha | ↑5k | SellNo31¢ → 2¢ | $3,751 | +$3,491 +93% | — |
| 25d | lijing-213 | ↑5k | BuyYes67¢ → 98¢ | $4,288 | +$1,974 +46% | 24 |
| 25d | taiyizh | ↑5k | BuyYes67¢ → 98¢ | $8,107 | +$3,733 +46% | 24 |
| 25d | nverg2 fills | ↑5k | BuyYes67¢ → 98¢ | $6,767 | +$3,116 +46% | 24 |
| 25d | bajias | ↑5k | BuyYes67¢ → 98¢ | $7,236 | +$3,332 +46% | 24 |
| 32d | lumie | ↑4.75k | SellYes85¢ → >99¢ | $2,550 | −$440 −17% | — |
| 32d | pepei | ↑4.75k | BuyYes87¢ → >99¢ | $2,958 | +$430 +15% | 4 |
| 32d | raniny | ↑4.75k | BuyYes86¢ → >99¢ | $3,612 | +$573 +16% | 4 |
| 32d | vidac | ↑4.75k | BuyYes86¢ → >99¢ | $3,182 | +$505 +16% | 4 |
| 32d | rocket1 | ↑4.75k | SellNo13¢ → <1¢ | $2,081 | +$2,025 +97% | — |
| 45d | gmeowcl | ↑10k | BuyNo96¢ → 93¢ | $1,624 | −$53 −3.3% | 7 |
| 45d | gmeowcl | ↑12.5k | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $2,059 | −$47 −2.3% | 4 |
| 82d | 0x8931…a90c | ↑7.5k | BuyNo89¢ → 73¢ | $1,178 | −$218 −19% | 11 |
| 94d |  fElon | ↑7.5k | SellNo91¢ → 73¢ | $1,264 | +$257 +20% | — |
| 134d | fElon | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,164 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d |  Hakei. | ↑7.5k | BuyNo88¢ → 73¢ | $1,188 | −$213 −18% | 12 |
| 177d | VincentWright2057 | ↑7.5k | BuyNo87¢ → 73¢ | $1,910 | −$318 −17% | 13 |
| 183d | Ricpb | ↑5k | BuyNo63¢ → 2¢ | $1,260 | −$1,217 −97% | 24 |
| 187d | LouisWilson9910 | ↑7.5k | BuyNo89¢ → 73¢ | $1,026 | −$190 −19% | 11 |
| 189d | ChristopherGardner4578 | ↑12.5k | SellNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,172 | −$96 −8.2% | — |
| 189d | splashbrothers3011 | ↑12.5k | SellNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,228 | −$101 −8.2% | — |
| 189d | splashbrothers3011 | ↑12.5k | BuyNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,228 | +$101 +8.2% | 4 |
| 189d | ChristopherGardner4578 | ↑12.5k | BuyNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,172 | +$96 +8.2% | 4 |
| 191d | Miojinho | ↑5k | BuyNo52¢ → 2¢ | $1,376 | −$1,319 −96% | 24 |
| 201d | EricLiu6765 | ↑12.5k | BuyNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,123 | +$92 +8.2% | 4 |
| 203d | eNakeVets | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$701 −49% | — |
| 205d | jmdrsdee | Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$461 +41% | 4 |
| 206d | serrthaswda | ↑5k | SellNo49¢ → 2¢ | $1,029 | +$984 +96% | — |
| 210d | JenniferVasquez4914 | ↑7.5k | BuyNo78¢ → 73¢ | $1,455 | −$103 −7.1% | 19 |
| 210d | LisaSullivan7004 | ↑12.5k | BuyNo87¢ → 94¢ | $1,333 | +$110 +8.2% | 4 |
| 211d | SheilaRamos5947 | ↑7.5k | BuyNo78¢ → 73¢ | $1,186 | −$84 −7.1% | 19 |
| 215d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑5k | BuyNo52¢ → 2¢ | $2,716 | −$2,604 −96% | 24 |
| 221d | almada | ↑10k | SellNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,780 | −$2,740 −17% | — |
| 221d | santos | ↑10k | SellNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,583 | −$2,752 −18% | — |
| 221d | chengdou | ↑10k | SellNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,622 | −$2,759 −18% | — |
| 221d | chrisa-567 | ↑10k | SellNo79¢ → 93¢ | $16,548 | −$2,898 −18% | — |
| 222d | chengdou | ↑10k | BuyNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,662 | +$2,719 +17% | 18 |
| 222d | almada | ↑10k | BuyNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,780 | +$2,740 +17% | 18 |
| 222d | chrisa-567 | ↑10k | BuyNo79¢ → 93¢ | $16,569 | +$2,877 +17% | 18 |
| 222d | santos | ↑10k | BuyNo79¢ → 93¢ | $15,622 | +$2,713 +17% | 18 |
| 233d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,922 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 233d | fElon | ↑5k | SellNo54¢ → 2¢ | $1,511 | +$1,451 +96% | — |
| 233d | purpleshine74 | Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d | jiaochen | ↑10k | SellNo77¢ → 93¢ | $20,759 | −$4,336 −21% | — |
| 234d | mmydym | ↑10k | SellNo77¢ → 93¢ | $20,605 | −$4,304 −21% | — |
| 234d | mmydym | ↑10k | BuyNo77¢ → 93¢ | $20,605 | +$4,304 +21% | 20 |
| 234d | jiaochen | ↑10k | BuyNo77¢ → 93¢ | $20,759 | +$4,336 +21% | 20 |
| 235d |  Caribbeans | ↑10k | BuyNo76¢ → 93¢ | $1,647 | +$361 +22% | 20 |
| 237d | climateking3 fills | Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,723 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 247d | Simon4s2 fills | Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,693 | +$29 +1.1% | 4 |
| 249d | randomlypunting | Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$13 +0.7% | 4 |
| 254d | compurersufe | ↑10k | SellNo71¢ → 93¢ | $2,712 | −$835 −31% | — |
| 254d | pationforzhou | ↑10k | SellNo71¢ → 93¢ | $2,775 | −$855 −31% | — |
| 254d | hangheruhailiu | ↑10k | SellNo71¢ → 93¢ | $2,903 | −$894 −31% | — |
| 255d | pationforzhou | ↑10k | BuyNo69¢ → 93¢ | $2,717 | +$913 +34% | 24 |
| 255d | hangheruhailiu | ↑10k | BuyNo69¢ → 93¢ | $2,841 | +$955 +34% | 24 |
Tenebrus7645 sharesfElon389 shares
Gaujmalietis335 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for ↑12.5k means the market gives it about 6%.