| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 28,075 | 49¢ → 89¢ | $24,846 | +$10,955 +79% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 28,256 | 74¢ → 62¢ | $17,377 | −$3,457 −17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 6,953 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $6,640 | +$333 +5.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 15,702 | 29¢ → 41¢ | $6,359 | +$1,794 +39% |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?Ends in 103d | No | 6,648 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $5,780 | −$3 −0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12,969 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $5,252 | +$1,142 +28% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 6,122 | 68¢ → 61¢ | $3,704 | −$458 −11% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 29,702 | 20¢ → 9¢ | $2,540 | −$3,319 −57% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 29,408 | 34¢ → 8¢ | $2,206 | −$7,844 −78% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 4,552 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $2,114 | +$446 +27% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22,135 | 36¢ → 10¢ | $2,103 | −$5,829 −73% |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,125 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2,048 | +$113 +5.9% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 2,302 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $2,009 | +$434 +28% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 45¢ → 37¢ | $1,825 | −$428 −19% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 1,647 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $1,359 | +$107 +8.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 27,557 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $1,309 | −$4,159 −76% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,178 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $1,014 | +$200 +25% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 29,346 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $998 | −$3,644 −79% |
| Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $979 | +$56 +6.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 10,094 | 16¢ → 10¢ | $959 | −$617 −39% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 2,579 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $915 | −$168 −16% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 11,888 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $898 | −$645 −42% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 886 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $859 | +$53 +6.6% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4,501 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $765 | +$69 +9.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,142 | 21¢ → 9¢ | $692 | −$991 −59% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,513 | 14¢ → 28¢ | $691 | +$331 +92% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,347 | 30¢ → 21¢ | $686 | −$331 −33% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,241 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $661 | −$34 −4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 619 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $600 | +$26 +4.6% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 4,963 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $462 | −$235 −34% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,268 | 25¢ → 4¢ | $343 | −$1,942 −85% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $305 | +$5 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,101 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $295 | −$225 −43% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,965 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $293 | −$211 −42% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 477 | 11¢ → 62¢ | $293 | +$243 +482% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,357 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $238 | +$83 +54% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 239 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $229 | +$13 +6.2% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 657 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $223 | +$10 +4.8% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 529 | 43¢ → 41¢ | $214 | −$13 −5.8% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,806 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $181 | −$52 −22% |
| Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 166 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $164 | +$8 +4.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 174 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $144 | +$11 +8.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 148 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $139 | +$11 +9.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 233 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $136 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 134 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $132 | +$6 +4.7% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 5,110 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $110 | −$58 −35% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 2,517 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $97 | −$210 −68% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,104 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $77 | −$310 −80% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 925 | 14¢ → 7¢ | $60 | −$74 −55% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,669 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $57 | −$44 −44% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 111 | 43¢ → 48¢ | $53 | +$5 +10% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$4 +8.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 367 | 7¢ → 13¢ | $46 | +$20 +79% |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $44 | +$4 +11% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 773 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $36 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 88 | 49¢ → 38¢ | $33 | −$10 −24% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,943 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$315 −91% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 70 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $27 | −$2 −6.1% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $25 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 119 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $20 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 390 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $20 | −$11 −37% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 148 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $17 | +$5 +36% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 19 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $16 | +$4 +36% |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 824 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$72 −87% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 17 | 53¢ → 59¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 91 | 22¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$10 −52% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 293 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$30 −79% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 59 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $7 | +$3 +62% |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 488 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$2 −23% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,002 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$20 −78% |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,101 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$4 −43% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 146 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 95 | 10¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 754 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$72 −95% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$9 −74% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 99 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$1 −21% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 84 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$2 −59% |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$4 −78% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 7 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +65% |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?Ends in 1536d | Yes | 2 | 11¢ → 26¢ | $1 | +$0 +132% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 9 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $1 | +$0 +210% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 12 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32 | 15¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −97% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36,464 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,131 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$423 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 46,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,216 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,808 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,304 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,000 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$933 −100% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,530 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,730 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$208 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 109 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,841 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,049 −100% |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,143 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$293 −100% |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 510 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
