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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,500 | 0% | −1 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | +66 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 95,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,500 | 100% | +37 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 92,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,500 | 0% | −47 pts | −73 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 97,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +51 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 100% | +52 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 0% | −1 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,500 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 85,000 | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | +31 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | +29 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | beatyesterday | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,172 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | GoingGangrene | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d |  upont | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,793 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 16d |  Tttyh5 fills | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $24,103 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Xaiwe | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,252 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Cawi | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,264 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Yaia | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,276 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Tawp | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,226 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d |  Facaie | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,617 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d |  hack-vc | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,729 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | Facaie | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d | NachiketD | ↓ 82,500 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$720 +8.0% | 2 |
| 16d | Mikleo | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 16d |  shizzle99 | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 16d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↓ 82,500 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,930 | −$2,930 −100% | 11 |
| 16d | upont4 fills | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,277 | −$72 −0.9% | — |
| 16d | upont | ↑ 92,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 17d |  olegs | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,640 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | Tttyh4 fills | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,171 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Big-Bet-Yuko | ↓ 82,500 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | −$225 −10% | — |
| 17d | nearping2 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,497 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d |  justdance8 fills | ↓ 82,500 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $27,023 | +$8,960 +33% | 2 |
| 17d | HandsomeLi6 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,111 | +$130 +0.8% | 2 |
| 17d | strengthinnumbers | ↓ 82,500 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,594 | −$806 −31% | — |
| 17d | upont2 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,330 | +$69 +1.6% | 2 |
| 17d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | ↓ 82,500 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $23,669 | −$7,573 −32% | — |
| 17d | Rin2x2 fills | ↑ 92,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,084 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 17d | Indelible-Roast2 fills | ↑ 92,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 17d | pizdi.bolyu3 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,346 | +$66 +1.5% | 2 |
| 17d | olegs3 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,741 | +$192 +0.4% | 2 |
| 17d | justdance9 fills | ↑ 87,500 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $28,747 | +$13,386 +47% | 2 |
| 17d | Indelible-Roast5 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$110 +2.2% | 2 |
| 17d |  LiMoon | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 17d | WeedMann90 | ↓ 82,500 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | −$136 −4.9% | — |
| 17d |  niefeng | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$378 −23% | — |
| 17d |  lasiweijiasi2 fills | ↑ 92,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 17d | lasiweijiasi2 fills | ↑ 87,500 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,946 | −$550 −19% | — |
| 17d | Tttyh5 fills | ↑ 95,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,081 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↓ 82,500 | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $12,746 | +$13,424 +105% | 3 |
| 17d | lee886 | ↓ 77,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | −$14 −0.6% | — |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,429 | +$1,846 +54% | 4 |
| 17d | Corrupt-Lark | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,251 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | Corrupt-Lark3 fills | ↓ 77,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,257 | +$87 +0.9% | 2 |
| 17d | olegs | ↓ 72,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,978 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 17d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | +$1,046 +100% | — |
| 17d | LO54566 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,890 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | tenet-bot | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 17d | justme003 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 17d |  meowtravel | ↓ 82,500 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,996 | +$1,226 +41% | 4 |
| 17d | helloworld113 | ↓ 82,500 | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$522 −47% | — |
| 17d | 44324 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 17d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | ↓ 82,500 | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $16,460 | +$16,021 +97% | 3 |
| 17d | Indelible-Roast2 fills | ↑ 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,605 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 17d | Indelible-Roast2 fills | ↓ 77,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,595 | −$84 −1.5% | — |
| 17d |  ThanksGivingTurkey10012 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,044 | +$70 +0.6% | 2 |
| 17d | Tttyh4 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,251 | +$46 +0.2% | 2 |
| 17d | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,724 | −$1,724 −100% | 3 |
| 17d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $14,513 | −$14,513 −100% | 3 |
| 17d | bk2 | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 17d | JanAMEX2 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 3 |
ohhhhhhh43,229 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 100,000 means the market gives it about 0%.