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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $5,200 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $4,500 | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $5,800 | 3% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $8,600 | 7% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $9,300 | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $6,000 | 7% | — | +1 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $7,000 | 20% | −5 pts | −5 pts | 13¢ · 27¢ (14¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $7,200 | 28% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 18¢ · 39¢ (21¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $7,400 | 62% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 45¢ · 78¢ (33¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $8,000 | 36% | −6 pts | −16 pts | 27¢ · 45¢ (18¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $10,000 | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $8,200 | 33% | — | −8 pts | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | $276 | in 75d |
| ↓ $6,200 | 10% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | $54.1 | in 75d |
| ↑ $9,000 | 2% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $8.33 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | cryptoincome | ↑ $8,600 | BuyNo94¢ | $1,672 | −$9 −0.5% | 4 |
| 4d | Indelible-Roast | ↓ $6,200 | SellNo90¢ | $1,198 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 5d | Avamax | ↓ $5,800 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,104 | +$14 +0.7% | 4 |
| 15d | ourdemocracy2 fills | ↓ $5,200 | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $3,122 | −$117 −3.8% | — |
| 29d | QMG-VOL | ↓ $5,200 | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $5,067 | +$125 +2.5% | 4 |
| 33d | nocturne481 | ↓ $5,800 | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,626 | +$82 +5.1% | 4 |
| 33d | nocturne481 | ↓ $5,200 | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $2,191 | +$78 +3.6% | 4 |
| 37d |  XAE12Archangel | ↓ $5,200 | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,015 | −$94 −4.7% | — |
| 57d | orderfill | ↓ $4,500 | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,183 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 62d | ourdemocracy2 fills | ↓ $5,200 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $2,153 | +$184 +8.5% | 4 |
| 83d | Alegrandebig | ↓ $4,500 | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $3,150 | −$127 −4.0% | — |
| 85d | Avamax | ↓ $4,500 | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $5,090 | +$150 +2.9% | 4 |
| 87d | XAE12Archangel2 fills | ↓ $4,500 | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $3,608 | −$167 −4.6% | — |
| 87d | Corrupt-Lark2 fills | ↓ $6,200 | BuyNo73¢ → 90¢ | $3,065 | +$725 +24% | 22 |
| 89d |  olegs | ↓ $4,500 | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,095 | +$44 +4.0% | 4 |
| 94d | Avamax | ↑ $8,200 | BuyNo76¢ → 68¢ | $2,288 | −$256 −11% | 20 |
| 101d | MPCap20 | ↓ $4,500 | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $2,070 | −$130 −6.3% | — |
| 116d | Musk5 | ↓ $4,500 | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,820 | +$136 +7.5% | 4 |
| 128d | ourdemocracy2 | ↓ $5,200 | BuyNo88¢ → 97¢ | $1,319 | +$141 +11% | 4 |
| 133d | XAE12Archangel | ↓ $4,500 | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $2,484 | +$157 +6.3% | 4 |
| 137d |  CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,763 | +$66 +1.7% | 4 |
| 155d | startrader644 | ↓ $5,800 | BuyNo73¢ → 97¢ | $1,459 | +$474 +32% | 4 |
| 161d | CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,128 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 194d |  BettingQuant | ↓ $6,200 | BuyYes76¢ → 10¢ | $1,554 | −$1,352 −87% | 20 |
| 203d | CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,492 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 212d | CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in December? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
KOMZY8,102 shares
Copezilla1,531 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for ↓ $5,200 means the market gives it about 3%.