ourdemocracy2

Polymarket wallet 0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811 · on Polymarket since Jun 22, 2025 · also shown as Experienced-Carpeting

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $30.6K
All-time profit: +$6.58K
Volume traded: $10.8M
All-time rank: #20,666
Markets traded: 603
Recent hit rate: 66%33 of last 50 closed

Open positions

70 markets · $30.6K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	12,682	87¢ → 88¢	$11,097	+$100 +0.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	3,000	85¢ → 85¢	$2,535	−$15 −0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d	No	2,336	88¢ → 97¢	$2,274	+$219 +11%
Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d	No	2,191	81¢ → 92¢	$2,016	+$247 +14%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	1,330	82¢ → 98¢	$1,298	+$210 +19%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	1,503	85¢ → 86¢	$1,292	+$9 +0.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	1,300	95¢ → 97¢	$1,256	+$16 +1.3%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	1,000	90¢ → 89¢	$885	−$15 −1.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d	No	907	77¢ → 97¢	$877	+$180 +26%
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	1,000	91¢ → 87¢	$865	−$42 −4.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d	No	535	73¢ → 90¢	$482	+$91 +23%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	470	91¢ → 94¢	$441	+$13 +3.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	500	74¢ → 86¢	$428	+$58 +16%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?Ends in 14d	No	386	94¢ → 97¢	$373	+$12 +3.3%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	381	78¢ → 91¢	$348	+$52 +17%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	300	88¢ → 93¢	$278	+$13 +4.9%
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	300	85¢ → 91¢	$273	+$18 +7.1%
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	No	229	80¢ → 96¢	$220	+$38 +21%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	250	86¢ → 88¢	$220	+$6 +2.6%
America.gov removed by October 31?Ends in 75d	No	201	98¢ → 97¢	$195	−$1 −0.7%
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	200	92¢ → 97¢	$194	+$9 +5.1%
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	214	88¢ → 89¢	$191	+$1 +0.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d	No	203	86¢ → 94¢	$190	+$15 +8.8%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in October?Ends in 14d	No	182	98¢ → 99¢	$180	+$1 +0.6%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	200	78¢ → 87¢	$173	+$17 +11%
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	171	92¢ → 95¢	$163	+$5 +2.9%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	155	86¢ → 93¢	$143	+$10 +7.5%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	150	93¢ → 94¢	$141	+$2 +1.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?Ends in 14d	No	150	92¢ → 93¢	$140	+$2 +1.6%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?Ends in 14d	No	150	98¢ → 93¢	$139	−$8 −5.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?Ends in 14d	No	129	95¢ → 99¢	$127	+$4 +3.5%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?Ends in 79d	No	120	87¢ → 88¢	$105	+$1 +0.6%
Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?Ends in 14d	No	100	96¢ → 97¢	$97	+$1 +1.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?Ends in 14d	No	100	93¢ → 94¢	$94	+$1 +0.9%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d	No	94	91¢ → 95¢	$90	+$4 +4.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in October?Ends in 14d	No	100	97¢ → 89¢	$89	−$8 −8.2%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?Ends in 14d	No	100	96¢ → 80¢	$80	−$16 −16%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	200	37¢ → 38¢	$75	+$1 +1.4%
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	76	92¢ → 97¢	$73	+$3 +4.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	85	87¢ → 83¢	$71	−$3 −4.1%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	70	94¢ → 94¢	$65	−$0 −0.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?Ends in 14d	No	60	99¢ → 99¢	$59	+$0 +0.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?Ends in 14d	No	60	98¢ → 98¢	$59	−$0 −0.1%
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	61	93¢ → 94¢	$57	+$1 +1.5%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	69	76¢ → 77¢	$53	+$1 +1.1%
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	50	95¢ → 96¢	$48	+$0 +0.7%
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	41	90¢ → 90¢	$37	−$0 −0.6%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?Ends in 14d	No	10	99¢ → 96¢	$10	−$0 −2.7%
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?Settled - ready to redeem	No	59	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Settled - ready to redeem	No	92	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	75	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$59 −100%
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem	No	90	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$53 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem	No	268	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$157 −100%
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	66¢ → 0¢	$0	−$33 −100%
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	341	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$72 −100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?Settled - ready to redeem	No	50	85¢ → 0¢	$0	−$43 −100%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	176	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$99 −100%
Will Google reach $375 in April?Settled - ready to redeem	No	118	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$116 −100%
Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	81¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	800	95¢ → 0¢	$0	−$763 −100%
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem	No	480	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$386 −100%
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	87¢ → 0¢	$0	−$87 −100%
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	25	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,800	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	300	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$279 −100%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
12d	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$19
13d	Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?	BuyNo95¢	$48
13d	America.gov removed by October 31?	BuyNo98¢	$197
13d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?	BuyNo93¢	$93
13d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	BuyNo95¢	$34
13d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	BuyNo94¢	$328
13d	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?	BuyNo96¢	$96
13d	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $115 in October?	BuyNo97¢	$97
13d	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	BuyNo99¢	$10
13d	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	BuyNo98¢	$147
13d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	BuyNo98¢	$59
13d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	BuyNo92¢	$138
13d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	BuyNo99¢	$59
13d	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	BuyNo95¢	$123
13d	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$140
13d	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$57
13d	Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$51
13d	Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$159
13d	Will XRP reach $2.20 in October?	BuyNo96¢	$96
13d	Will XRP reach $2.40 in October?	BuyNo98¢	$179
13d	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$904
13d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	BuyNo93¢	$159
13d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	BuyNo95¢	$956
13d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	BuyNo95¢	$287
13d	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BuyNo85¢	$2,550
13d	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	BuyNo37¢	$76
13d	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo78¢	$156
13d	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$66
13d	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$85
13d	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo89¢	$89
13d	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	BuyNo85¢	$361
13d	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	BuyNo85¢	$930
13d	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	BuyNo88¢	$190
13d	Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$37
13d	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?	BuyNo86¢	$216
13d	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	BuyNo87¢	$105
13d	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$170
13d	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo88¢	$176
13d	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$911
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$14
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$1
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$1
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$11
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$80
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$2
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	SellNo23¢	$3
23d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	SellNo80¢	$1,093
26d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	BuyNo88¢	$120
26d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	BuyNo99¢	$511
26d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	BuyNo74¢	$374
26d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	BuyNo86¢	$259
26d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	SellNo99¢	$2,066
32d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo84¢	$647
32d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo84¢	$386
32d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	SellNo98¢	$965
34d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	SellNo11¢	$70
36d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	BuyNo87¢	$1,273
36d	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	BuyNo98¢	$4,052
36d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	BuyNo72¢	$67
36d	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	BuyNo67¢	$337

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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