Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $3,600 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,400 | 14% | −7 pts | −16 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $2.86K | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,200 | 82% | −10 pts | — | 81¢ · 82¢ (1¢) | $1.89K | in 15d |
| ↓ $3,700 | 2% | −3 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $1.01K | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,300 | 45% | −3 pts | −19 pts | 43¢ · 46¢ (3¢) | $1.01K | in 15d |
| ↓ $3,800 | 7% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $981 | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,500 | 8% | −3 pts | −7 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $498 | in 15d |
| ↓ $4,000 | 31% | +6 pts | −3 pts | 30¢ · 32¢ (2¢) | $466 | in 15d |
| ↓ $3,900 | 10% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | $290 | in 15d |
| ↓ $4,100 | 73% | +14 pts | — | 71¢ · 75¢ (4¢) | $284 | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,800 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $200 | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,700 | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $50.6 | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,600 | 4% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $50 | in 15d |
| ↓ $3,500 | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 15d |
| ↑ $4,900 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $12 | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | oliverbigfly | ↑ $4,900 | SellNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,024 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 10d | lagex333 | ↓ $3,800 | SellNo84¢ → 93¢ | $1,749 | −$193 −11% | — |
| 15d |  CoinTrick | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,451 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 15d | 0x4a0b…7a11 | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $5,000 | +$242 +4.8% | 8 |
| 22d | bitcoinmafia | ↓ $3,600 | BuyYes85¢ → 1¢ | $1,275 | −$1,256 −99% | 4 |
withoutmoonset3,073 shares
YYY520500 shares
AlAhmeda230 sharesWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for ↓ $3,600 means the market gives it about 1%.