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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $400 | 0% | −7 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $375 | 100% | +79 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $355 | 100% | +22 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $255 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $220 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $240 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $335 | 100% | +11 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $195 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $270 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $280 | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $300 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $320 | 100% | +48 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $310 | 100% | +23 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $290 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172d |  arw098 | ↑ $400 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | −$103 −5.4% | — |
| 172d |  Albedo00 | ↑ $400 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$41 +3.6% | 5 |
| 173d | predictgeek | ↑ $400 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$54 +1.8% | 4 |
| 184d | Private-Pantologist | ↑ $335 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$32 +1.2% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $400 means the market gives it about 0%.