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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 91% | — | — | 90¢ · 91¢ (1¢) | $285K | in 18d |
| Republican Party | 10% | — | — | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $64.6K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55m | paval | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,800 | −$10 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1h | JerryW-601 | Republican Party | BuyYes10¢ | $1,205 | −$60 −5.0% | 13 |
| 1h | Scattershot88 | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,365 | −$8 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2h | Thirsty-Privacy | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,366 | −$13 −0.5% | 10 |
| 3h | LesMeGo | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,365 | −$8 −0.5% | 10 |
| 9h | axaxaxxaxxax2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $6,972 | −$38 −0.5% | 11 |
| 9h |  OATH1989 | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $3,483 | −$19 −0.5% | 10 |
| 10h | purplegatto2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes92¢ → 91¢ | $5,587 | −$109 −2.0% | 10 |
| 11h | BuddhaYTorrance9 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $119,970 | −$917 −0.8% | 16 |
| 12h | scottorhino4 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes92¢ → 91¢ | $16,978 | −$193 −1.1% | 11 |
| 14h | Stable-Armament2 fills | Democratic Party | SellYes90¢ → 91¢ | $36,477 | −$203 −0.6% | — |
| 16h | QQQ77717 fills | Democratic Party | BuyNo10¢ → 9¢ | $74,800 | −$320 −0.4% | 63 |
| 16h | QQQ7777 fills | Republican Party | BuyYes10¢ | $19,000 | −$950 −5.0% | 52 |
| 16h | nicdan | Democratic Party | SellYes90¢ → 91¢ | $1,008 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 1d | Fkbi | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,394 | −$13 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d | nedsta2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,730 | −$15 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d | Occasionalbettor | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $7,280 | −$40 −0.5% | 11 |
| 1d | chemicales | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $10,000 | −$55 −0.5% | 11 |
| 1d | AliAhmet | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,032 | −$11 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d |  obakobakk | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,820 | −$10 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d |  Mr-Krabs6 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes92¢ → 91¢ | $16,095 | −$285 −1.8% | 11 |
| 1d | john87631450 | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,000 | −$11 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d | eugen1j | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,000 | −$11 −0.5% | 10 |
| 1d | End1232 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $64,505 | −$653 −1.0% | 15 |
| 1d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes92¢ → 91¢ | $9,200 | −$150 −1.6% | 11 |
| 1d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul4 fills | Republican Party | BuyNo92¢ → 91¢ | $18,350 | −$250 −1.4% | 16 |
| 1d | zhiiiy | Republican Party | BuyNo91¢ | $2,489 | −$14 −0.5% | 11 |
| 1d | shama1024 | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $4,900 | −$27 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d |  MiuMiuYan5 fills | Democratic Party | SellYes90¢ → 91¢ | $144,742 | −$804 −0.6% | — |
| 2d | Andylow517 fills | Republican Party | BuyYes9¢ → 10¢ | $81,906 | +$2,605 +3.2% | 63 |
| 2d | Frozen-Rheumatism | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $4,000 | −$22 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d | Gamble.and.bankurpt4 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $6,264 | −$57 −0.9% | 11 |
| 2d | Catfly | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,092 | −$6 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d | Corrupt-Lark | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $9,100 | −$50 −0.5% | 11 |
| 2d | -wraith-2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $12,376 | −$68 −0.5% | 11 |
| 2d | burrito3382 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $335,553 | −$1,844 −0.5% | 16 |
| 2d | geoffmar | Democratic Party | SellNo9¢ | $1,456 | −$81 −5.6% | — |
| 2d |  Mrage | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $10,001 | −$55 −0.5% | 11 |
| 2d | MoeZart | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,820 | −$10 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d |  Astera | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $35,588 | −$196 −0.5% | 13 |
| 2d | BISBluevine2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $5,869 | −$32 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d | bettingonwar | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $10,046 | −$55 −0.5% | 11 |
| 2d |  Sardinianshepherd | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,820 | −$10 −0.5% | 10 |
| 3d | wayyt | Democratic Party | SellNo9¢ | $2,501 | −$139 −5.6% | — |
| 3d |  MrNoItAll2 fills | Republican Party | BuyNo91¢ | $2,492 | −$14 −0.5% | 11 |
| 3d | Spirited-Essence-Linguistics | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,020 | −$11 −0.5% | 12 |
| 3d | simpleman | Democratic Party | SellYes90¢ → 91¢ | $15,792 | −$88 −0.6% | — |
| 3d | Elias.Thornwell2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes93¢ → 91¢ | $6,991 | −$163 −2.3% | 10 |
| 3d | Humble4 fills | Democratic Party | BuyNo12¢ → 9¢ | $5,502 | −$985 −18% | 24 |
| 3d | pedrodellasiesta | Republican Party | BuyYes10¢ | $1,100 | −$55 −5.0% | 12 |
| 4d |  qizhan | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $4,095 | −$23 −0.5% | 10 |
| 4d | qizhan2 fills | Republican Party | BuyNo92¢ → 91¢ | $5,726 | −$69 −1.2% | 12 |
| 4d | JoeWillens57 | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $2,275 | −$13 −0.5% | 10 |
| 4d | Yerlan692 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $8,464 | −$47 −0.5% | 11 |
| 4d | ackie | Democratic Party | BuyNo10¢ → 9¢ | $1,427 | −$71 −5.0% | 13 |
| 4d | degenblobs | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $6,370 | −$35 −0.5% | 11 |
| 5d | Palmfrog2 fills | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $13,387 | −$74 −0.5% | 11 |
| 5d | A-tang | Republican Party | BuyYes10¢ | $1,000 | −$50 −5.0% | 11 |
| 5d |  perfectnostalgia | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $4,550 | −$25 −0.5% | 10 |
| 5d | ZeroFeeD | Democratic Party | BuyYes91¢ | $1,100 | −$6 −0.5% | 10 |
scottilicious299,361 shares
Flipadelphia100,000 shares
bullishkirby452,654 shares
foodenjoyer171,129 shares
mooseborzoi138,900 sharesThis market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election. A party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated. The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber. All House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 91¢ for Democratic Party means the market gives it about 91%.