Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended | |
| OpenAI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| xAI | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anthropic | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Meta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| DeepSeek | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Alibaba | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mistral AI | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Microsoft | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Z.ai | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tencent | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moonshot | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Company G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Company H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Company I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Company J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | superstation | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 289d | th2 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,582 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 289d | tomato9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 289d | Larry88 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,560 | −$24 −0.1% | — | |
| 289d |  noreasapa | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,172 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 289d | Abandoned-Counsel6 fills | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,448 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 290d | jiuge | OpenAI | SellNo>99¢ | $2,389 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 290d | InvadeZz | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,795 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 290d | jiuge | OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,391 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 290d | cigarettes9 fills | xAI | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,550 | +$415 +1.8% | 4 |
| 290d | cigarettes15 fills | OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,980 | +$59 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | hollyber6 fills | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,320 | +$430 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 290d |  KatieSprygada1 | xAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,667 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 290d | hAWK12 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 290d |  TruongMyLan | SellYes100¢ | $4,975 | −$25 −0.5% | — | |
| 290d | UMAENJOYER | SellYes>99¢ | $2,762 | −$14 −0.5% | — | |
| 290d | bb999 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$15 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 290d | Larry887 fills | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,487 | +$488 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 290d | aviato2 fills | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,659 | +$190 +1.8% | 4 | |
| 290d | 12qa12qa | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | +$15 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 290d |  0xshanhai | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,072 | −$28 −0.9% | — | |
| 290d | loscr7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | −$19 −1.0% | — | |
| 290d | Hateful-EveNew account | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 290d | gm3000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$10 −0.9% | — | |
| 290d | BigDenergy | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,978 | −$22 −0.7% | — | |
| 290d | tytryrt | xAI | BuyNo100¢ | $1,240 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 290d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,660 | +$37 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 291d | leoleoleo678 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 291d | adongge6 | OpenAI | SellNo>99¢ | $3,000 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 291d | YilangM | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — | |
| 291d | adongge6 | OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 291d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | xAI | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 291d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,034 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 291d |  freetime008 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 291d | waawaaa2 fills | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $38,602 | +$198 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 291d |  goforever | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$8 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 291d | waawaaa | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $17,089 | −$193 −1.1% | — | |
| 291d |  flow-trader-at-optiver13 fills | OpenAI | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $30,505 | +$627 +2.1% | 4 |
| 291d | flow-trader-at-optiver6 fills | xAI | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,878 | +$300 +2.0% | 4 |
| 291d | tmry-st | OpenAI | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,557 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 291d | WCWS | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$9 +0.9% | 4 | |
| 291d |  Tenebrus7 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$12 −1.0% | — | |
| 291d | CanadianGoose4 fills | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,662 | +$338 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 291d |  opened | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 291d | TruongMyLan2 fills | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,329 | +$58 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 292d | lengyileng | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,087 | −$45 −1.5% | — | |
| 292d | DogeTrading | xAI | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$16 +0.9% | 4 |
| 292d |  mocking-guess | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 292d | cigarettes14 fills | Z.ai | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,204 | +$33 +0.1% | 4 |
| 292d | somerandomdude | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,661 | +$49 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 292d | saudiarabimoneyrich | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,491 | −$46 −1.3% | — | |
| 292d | tsekinming013 fills | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,904 | +$529 +7.7% | 4 | |
| 292d | loscr7 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$25 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 292d |  x3560 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,877 | +$123 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 293d | shardiv | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,288 | +$124 +1.3% | 4 | |
| 293d | doors56 | DeepSeek | SellNo>99¢ | $1,085 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 293d |  hulinali | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$62 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 293d | gettr2 fills | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$60 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 293d | kamakamakamata2 fills | Anthropic | SellNo>99¢ | $97,552 | −$178 −0.2% | — |
| 293d | kamakamakamata | Anthropic | BuyNo>99¢ | $112,831 | +$113 +0.1% | 4 |
Noooooooooooooo408 shares
Festka15,000 sharesqqThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Google means the market gives it about 100%.