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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Crowley (D) | 81% | — | — | 80¢ · 81¢ (1¢) | $47 | in 18d |
| Tom Tiffany (R) | 20% | — | +1 pts | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $5.29K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Robust-Exhaust | David Crowley (D) | SellYes80¢ → 81¢ | $1,800 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 7d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | David Crowley (D) | SellYes81¢ | $1,319 | +$8 +0.6% | — |
| 9d |  10000Bets | David Crowley (D) | SellYes80¢ → 81¢ | $2,971 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 10d |  Haradwaith | Tom Tiffany (R) | SellNo81¢ | $1,135 | +$7 +0.6% | — |
| 15d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes82¢ → 81¢ | $1,558 | −$28 −1.8% | 22 |
| 15d | 10000Bets | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $4,050 | −$25 −0.6% | 23 |
| 16d |  0xwordjnn | Tom Tiffany (R) | SellNo79¢ → 81¢ | $3,801 | −$72 −1.9% | — |
| 16d | SnowLover72 fills | Tom Tiffany (R) | SellNo82¢ → 81¢ | $23,560 | +$434 +1.8% | — |
| 24d | SlavaUkraini | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes85¢ → 81¢ | $6,611 | −$321 −4.8% | 20 |
| 38d | Flipbandit | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes84¢ → 81¢ | $2,016 | −$84 −4.2% | 21 |
| 38d | BuddhaYTorrance | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes83¢ → 81¢ | $1,026 | −$31 −3.0% | 21 |
| 39d |  HilelTheElder | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes83¢ → 81¢ | $5,986 | −$180 −3.0% | 21 |
| 39d | FastTrackFund | David Crowley (D) | SellYes82¢ → 81¢ | $3,116 | +$57 +1.8% | — |
| 45d | Robust-Exhaust2 fills | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $9,397 | −$80 −0.8% | 23 |
| 45d | donthackme3 fills | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyNo79¢ → 81¢ | $3,412 | +$65 +1.9% | 24 |
| 45d | 0x0577…081f | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes82¢ → 81¢ | $2,886 | −$53 −1.8% | 22 |
| 46d |  cambridgeisaac | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $1,912 | −$12 −0.6% | 23 |
| 50d | PolBandit | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $6,309 | −$39 −0.6% | 23 |
| 51d | StraddleSeller | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $1,620 | −$10 −0.6% | 23 |
| 51d | AuspiciousArt | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes81¢ | $4,050 | −$25 −0.6% | 23 |
| 55d |  Yirmeyahu3 fills | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes82¢ → 81¢ | $6,354 | −$108 −1.7% | 22 |
| 56d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | David Crowley (D) | SellYes78¢ → 81¢ | $1,558 | −$50 −3.2% | — |
| 56d |  ImJustKen | David Crowley (D) | BuyNo19¢ | $5,292 | +$139 +2.6% | 40 |
| 57d |  scottilicious5 fills | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes79¢ → 81¢ | $33,580 | +$501 +1.5% | 24 |
| 57d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyNo78¢ → 81¢ | $1,560 | +$50 +3.2% | 25 |
| 57d | Bigggggggg | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyNo78¢ → 81¢ | $4,809 | +$154 +3.2% | 25 |
| 57d |  BigRabbit2 fills | David Crowley (D) | SellNo20¢ → 19¢ | $4,030 | +$59 +1.5% | — |
| 60d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | David Crowley (D) | SellYes76¢ → 81¢ | $1,520 | −$90 −5.9% | — |
| 62d | StraddleSeller | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyYes24¢ → 20¢ | $1,440 | −$270 −19% | 32 |
| 63d |  crypto-basenji | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyYes24¢ → 20¢ | $1,260 | −$236 −19% | 30 |
| 63d | 0xabb9…2b63 | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyNo77¢ → 81¢ | $1,641 | +$70 +4.3% | 25 |
| 63d | ImJustKen | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyYes23¢ → 20¢ | $12,970 | −$1,974 −15% | 43 |
| 65d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | David Crowley (D) | BuyYes77¢ → 81¢ | $1,200 | +$55 +4.5% | 25 |
| 66d | deprecated-user | David Crowley (D) | SellYes76¢ → 81¢ | $1,171 | −$69 −5.9% | — |
| 71d | smoovster | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyYes62¢ → 20¢ | $1,100 | −$751 −68% | 27 |
| 73d | BigRabbit2 fills | David Crowley (D) | BuyNo55¢ → 19¢ | $11,199 | −$7,229 −65% | 30 |
| 303d | LauraHall3070 | Tom Tiffany (R) | BuyNo71¢ → 81¢ | $1,025 | +$137 +13% | 25 |
scottilicious42,449 sharesYirmeyahu10,034 sharesHilelTheElder7,212 sharesImJustKen31,730 shares
Hyperlong5,240 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 81¢ for David Crowley (D) means the market gives it about 81%.