| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 29,631 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $22,371 | +$1,117 +5.3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 21,468 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $15,564 | +$1,130 +7.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 13,226 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $10,382 | −$783 −7.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7,166 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $4,765 | −$767 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,820 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $3,637 | +$27 +0.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,844 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $3,636 | +$524 +17% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 4,154 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $3,473 | −$95 −2.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,366 | 67¢ → 81¢ | $2,710 | +$445 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,113 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $2,631 | −$82 −3.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,205 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $2,356 | −$85 −3.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,240 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $1,803 | −$11 −0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,660 | 68¢ → 46¢ | $1,665 | −$835 −33% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,951 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $1,570 | −$29 −1.8% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 4,423 | 25¢ → 35¢ | $1,526 | +$436 +40% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 1,415 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $1,414 | +$84 +6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,803 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $1,100 | −$213 −16% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,628 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $1,079 | −$119 −9.9% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,334 | 57¢ → 76¢ | $1,014 | +$247 +32% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,018 | 52¢ → 23¢ | $904 | −$1,196 −57% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,809 | 36¢ → 19¢ | $890 | −$831 −48% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 909 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $854 | +$203 +31% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,165 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $833 | +$15 +1.8% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,099 | 48¢ → 75¢ | $819 | +$291 +55% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,197 | 27¢ → 66¢ | $784 | +$459 +141% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 1,107 | 43¢ → 68¢ | $747 | +$273 +58% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,807 | 49¢ → 40¢ | $714 | −$169 −19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,192 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $712 | −$47 −6.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,982 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $623 | −$363 −37% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 721 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $602 | +$18 +3.1% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,052 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $594 | −$10 −1.6% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,799 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $594 | −$94 −14% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 641 | 51¢ → 86¢ | $548 | +$221 +68% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$23 +5.4% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 510 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $416 | +$76 +22% |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 14d | Yes | 444 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $411 | +$12 +3.1% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 473 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $399 | +$86 +27% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $375 | $0 0.0% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,333 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $367 | −$23 −6.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 74¢ → 73¢ | $363 | −$8 −2.0% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 387 | 46¢ → 93¢ | $358 | +$182 +103% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,066 | 42¢ → 33¢ | $351 | −$101 −22% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $348 | +$38 +12% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 382 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $330 | +$67 +26% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 386 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $317 | +$7 +2.3% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,600 | 64¢ → 9¢ | $306 | −$1,995 −87% |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 347 | 58¢ → 85¢ | $295 | +$92 +45% |
| California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?Ends in 17d | No | 332 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $287 | +$28 +11% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 387 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $281 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $278 | +$14 +5.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 442 | 54¢ → 63¢ | $277 | +$36 +15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 492 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $273 | −$27 −9.0% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 74¢ → 67¢ | $267 | −$29 −9.9% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 361 | 83¢ → 74¢ | $265 | −$35 −12% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 435 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $250 | +$8 +3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,081 | 42¢ → 12¢ | $239 | −$640 −73% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 411 | 37¢ → 55¢ | $224 | +$74 +49% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 372 | 62¢ → 57¢ | $214 | −$17 −7.3% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 250 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $211 | −$11 −5.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 40¢ → 41¢ | $203 | +$3 +1.3% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 310 | 17¢ → 65¢ | $201 | +$147 +272% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 400 | 39¢ → 50¢ | $198 | +$42 +27% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 400 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $190 | −$26 −12% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$13 +7.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $161 | −$25 −14% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,550 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $147 | −$293 −67% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 42¢ → 25¢ | $147 | −$105 −42% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 389 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $138 | −$57 −29% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 39¢ → 14¢ | $135 | −$255 −65% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 2,273 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $125 | −$125 −50% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 208 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $124 | −$26 −17% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $122 | +$7 +6.5% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 149 | 66¢ → 82¢ | $121 | +$23 +23% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 219 | 42¢ → 55¢ | $119 | +$27 +29% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,989 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $117 | −$212 −64% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Ends in 133d | No | 134 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $116 | +$16 +16% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,616 | 21¢ → 7¢ | $105 | −$237 −69% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 150 | 59¢ → 67¢ | $100 | +$11 +13% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,011 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $96 | +$11 +13% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 165d | Yes | 4,907 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $96 | −$34 −26% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $88 | −$13 −13% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 196 | 59¢ → 42¢ | $81 | −$35 −30% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,741 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $78 | −$148 −65% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 68¢ → 14¢ | $67 | −$272 −80% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 185 | 54¢ → 35¢ | $64 | −$36 −36% |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $63 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 185 | 53¢ → 33¢ | $60 | −$38 −39% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 58 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$17 +40% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $58 | +$7 +13% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $56 | −$19 −25% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | Yes | 92 | 45¢ → 57¢ | $53 | +$12 +28% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 283 | 49¢ → 19¢ | $52 | −$86 −62% |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $51 | +$6 +13% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 46¢ → 32¢ | $47 | −$22 −32% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 324 | 62¢ → 11¢ | $36 | −$164 −82% |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 17¢ | $34 | −$38 −53% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 217 | 65¢ → 16¢ | $34 | −$106 −76% |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 316 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $33 | −$27 −45% |
| Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $32 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3,877 | 8¢ → 1¢ | $29 | −$275 −90% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 190 | 31¢ → 15¢ | $29 | −$31 −52% |
