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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | +3 pts | +9 pts | 94¢ · 95¢ (1¢) | $2.45K | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h | everrisetrader | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BuyYes93¢ → 94¢ | $1,018 | +$14 +1.4% | 9 |
| 3d | spendingmoney | Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | BuyYes81¢ → 94¢ | $4,049 | +$655 +16% | 17 |
PastorTupirani1,302 shares
Jhyylle1,102 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 94%.