| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ends in 6d | Yes | 962 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $907 | +$91 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,009 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $701 | +$57 +8.9% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | Yes | 819 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $672 | +$91 +16% |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 609 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $579 | +$99 +21% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 513 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $507 | +$72 +16% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 464 | 58¢ → 99¢ | $462 | +$190 +70% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,600 | 21¢ → 27¢ | $424 | +$88 +26% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 592 | 41¢ → 72¢ | $423 | +$180 +74% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 526 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $413 | +$71 +21% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 845 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $401 | −$18 −4.2% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 503 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $355 | +$27 +8.2% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 518 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $355 | −$60 −14% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,134 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $346 | +$12 +3.7% |
| Will Oregon be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 359 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $343 | +$49 +17% |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | Yes | 402 | 39¢ → 83¢ | $332 | +$175 +112% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,009 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $328 | −$4 −1.2% |
| Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 357 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $319 | +$23 +7.6% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 720 | 38¢ → 44¢ | $313 | +$42 +16% |
| Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 359 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $311 | +$36 +13% |
| Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 321 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $310 | +$28 +10.0% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 319 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $306 | +$26 +9.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 303 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $302 | +$29 +11% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 421 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $278 | +$7 +2.6% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 475 | 42¢ → 59¢ | $278 | +$80 +41% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 352 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $266 | +$76 +40% |
| Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho?Ends in 17d | Yes | 449 | 38¢ → 57¢ | $258 | +$86 +50% |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 749 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $243 | −$84 −26% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | No | 924 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $236 | +$33 +16% |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 237 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $222 | +$59 +36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $210 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 238 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $206 | +$63 +44% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 302 | 91¢ → 68¢ | $205 | −$70 −26% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 244 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $200 | +$3 +1.3% |
| Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 205 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $195 | +$19 +11% |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$36 +24% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 72¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$39 +27% |
| Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 197 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $182 | +$35 +24% |
| Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 197 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $179 | −$7 −3.6% |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 193 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $175 | +$46 +35% |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 1,298 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $175 | −$184 −51% |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 202 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$10 +5.9% |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | Yes | 300 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $168 | +$20 +14% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 38¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$90 +117% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 112d | No | 202 | 57¢ → 76¢ | $154 | +$38 +33% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 417 | 42¢ → 37¢ | $152 | −$23 −13% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 152 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $148 | +$14 +10% |
| Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 163 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $147 | +$10 +7.1% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 186 | 60¢ → 79¢ | $146 | +$34 +30% |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 335 | 20¢ → 43¢ | $142 | +$76 +114% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 400 | 48¢ → 36¢ | $142 | −$50 −26% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 144 | 22¢ → 94¢ | $135 | +$103 +325% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 181 | 64¢ → 74¢ | $134 | +$18 +16% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?Ends in 17d | No | 202 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $130 | +$24 +22% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 954 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $129 | −$178 −58% |
| Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 128 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $127 | +$10 +8.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | No | 135 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $120 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 430 | 19¢ → 27¢ | $116 | +$34 +42% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | No | 141 | 13¢ → 81¢ | $114 | +$95 +507% |
| Will Alex R. Hibbert be the live-action Miles Morales?Ends in 440d | No | 125 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $112 | +$16 +17% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 163 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $111 | −$3 −2.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 126 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $109 | +$28 +34% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 800 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $108 | −$4 −3.6% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $107 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | No | 492 | 36¢ → 22¢ | $106 | −$72 −41% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 135 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $105 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 120 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $103 | +$14 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 321 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $101 | +$5 +5.0% |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 109 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $101 | +$8 +9.1% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 256d | Yes | 242 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $99 | −$18 −15% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 243 | 16¢ → 40¢ | $96 | +$57 +147% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | Yes | 320 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $93 | +$6 +7.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 273 | 19¢ → 33¢ | $90 | +$40 +78% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 64d | No | 614 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $89 | +$25 +39% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 54¢ → 43¢ | $88 | −$24 −21% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?Ends in 17d | No | 106 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $88 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | No | 90 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $88 | +$24 +39% |
| Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 36d | No | 727 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $84 | +$40 +92% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 185 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $83 | −$7 −7.4% |
| Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | No | 87 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $83 | +$5 +6.4% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 444 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $82 | −$13 −14% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | No | 82 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $81 | +$15 +22% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 840 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $80 | −$13 −14% |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 87 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $80 | +$16 +24% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 134 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $79 | −$3 −3.3% |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 80 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 88 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $76 | +$12 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 92 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $76 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 101 | 67¢ → 74¢ | $74 | +$7 +9.7% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 75 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $74 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 138 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $73 | +$4 +5.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 375 | 15¢ → 20¢ | $73 | +$17 +30% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 510 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $69 | −$50 −42% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 75 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $69 | +$5 +7.6% |
| Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 16d | No | 72 | 46¢ → 92¢ | $67 | +$33 +101% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 265 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $65 | −$2 −2.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 178 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $64 | +$22 +52% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 223 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $64 | −$14 −19% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 146 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $62 | −$8 −11% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 510 | 29¢ → 12¢ | $61 | −$85 −58% |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 77 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $61 | +$3 +6.1% |
