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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winchester Model 1873 | 57% | — | — | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | — | in 18d |
| Colt Peacemaker | 22% | +6 pts | +1 pts | 14¢ · 30¢ (16¢) | $11 | in 18d |
| Colt M1911 | 13% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | — | in 18d |
| M1 Garand | 5% | — | — | 1¢ · 9¢ (7¢) | — | in 18d |
| Winchester Model 1894 | 5% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 8¢ (7¢) | — | in 18d |
| Remington Model 700 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 18d |
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cosmicsteaks81 shares
LornaPredicts59 shares
EsperanzasDESTROYER614 shares
Haradwaith117 sharesThe Idaho Official State Gun Question is an advisory ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would inform the state legislature as to the voters' choice for a state gun. This market will resolve according to the winner of the Idaho Official State Gun Question in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The named options will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more options are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the options. This market will resolve to the option that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Idaho, including the Idaho Secretary of State (https://sos.idaho.gov/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 57¢ for Winchester Model 1873 means the market gives it about 57%.