| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$1 +0.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 200 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $75 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 95 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $60 | +$12 +25% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $53 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 200 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$5 −11% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 86 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $40 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 37 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $36 | +$2 +6.6% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 70 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $29 | +$6 +28% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 43 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.8% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 45 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $26 | −$2 −7.1% |
| Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 70 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | No | 37 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $24 | −$2 −7.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 45 | 53¢ → 54¢ | $24 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $21 | −$2 −6.9% |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 21 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $19 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 48¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$9 +93% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 7d | No | 58 | 50¢ → 31¢ | $18 | −$11 −38% |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $15 | −$1 −6.8% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 19 | 62¢ → 78¢ | $14 | +$3 +25% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 13 | 14¢ → >99¢ | $13 | +$11 +613% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 54¢ → 72¢ | $13 | +$3 +32% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 30 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $13 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 45 | 42¢ → 23¢ | $10 | −$9 −45% |
| Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Ends in 5h | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$3 +43% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 14 | 39¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$4 +82% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 14 | 61¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$3 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23 | 45¢ → 41¢ | $9 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 180d | No | 9 | 58¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$3 +63% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 64 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$16 −64% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 62 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 86¢ | $8 | +$3 +68% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$2 +26% |
| Will Anaheim Ducks advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Ends in 199d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 40¢ | $8 | −$7 −46% |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 55¢ → 39¢ | $8 | −$3 −29% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 9 | 67¢ → 87¢ | $8 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10 | 45¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$3 +70% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 15 | 47¢ → 51¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 9 | 64¢ → 85¢ | $8 | +$2 +32% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 15 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Ends in 84d | Yes | 19 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 165d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Ends in 12d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $7 | +$2 +29% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 11 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $7 | −$2 −20% |
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 10 | 45¢ → 65¢ | $7 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 61¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$2 +61% |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | Yes | 7 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 16 | 56¢ → 41¢ | $6 | −$2 −27% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $6 | −$1 −12% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 25 | 48¢ → 23¢ | $6 | −$6 −52% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 57¢ | $6 | +$2 +44% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 8 | 77¢ → 72¢ | $6 | −$0 −7.3% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 85d | Yes | 9 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Ends in 165d | No | 24 | 36¢ → 24¢ | $6 | −$3 −35% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 240d | No | 9 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 8 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 7 | 80¢ → 69¢ | $5 | −$1 −14% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 10 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 48¢ → 25¢ | $5 | −$5 −49% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 35¢ → 64¢ | $5 | +$2 +81% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Ends in 440d | No | 5 | 58¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$2 +67% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 10 | 40¢ → 48¢ | $5 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 440d | No | 7 | 57¢ → 68¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.4% |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 63¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$8 −63% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 21 | 49¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$6 −54% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 47¢ → 86¢ | $5 | +$2 +84% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | Yes | 8 | 52¢ → 59¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 6 | 59¢ → 79¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 59¢ → 76¢ | $5 | +$1 +28% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 9 | 62¢ → 49¢ | $4 | −$1 −22% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 20¢ → 63¢ | $4 | +$3 +212% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 180 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$28 −87% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 44¢ → 59¢ | $4 | +$1 +34% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 52¢ → 86¢ | $4 | +$2 +64% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 37¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$1 −23% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10 | 28¢ → 43¢ | $4 | +$1 +52% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5 | 64¢ → 83¢ | $4 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 9 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $4 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$2 +93% |
| Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 83d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $4 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 7 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $4 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 5 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $4 | +$1 +24% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 9 | 51¢ → 44¢ | $4 | −$1 −14% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | No | 5 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $4 | +$1 +20% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$0 −3.4% |
