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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $495 | 38% | −2 pts | +4 pts | 33¢ · 42¢ (9¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↓ $435 | 5% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↑ $600 | 10% | +1 pts | −5 pts | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↑ $615 | 11% | +5 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 15¢ (9¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↓ $405 | 2% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↓ $450 | 8% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↑ $540 | 72% | +3 pts | — | 69¢ · 75¢ (6¢) | $323 | in 14d |
| ↓ $420 | 4% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↓ $480 | 29% | +10 pts | +9 pts | 17¢ · 41¢ (24¢) | $91.9 | in 14d |
| ↓ $510 | 62% | −1 pts | +6 pts | 59¢ · 64¢ (5¢) | $76.1 | in 14d |
| ↑ $555 | 53% | +7 pts | −9 pts | 39¢ · 67¢ (28¢) | $59 | in 14d |
| ↑ $570 | 25% | −2 pts | −16 pts | 22¢ · 27¢ (5¢) | $31.9 | in 14d |
| ↑ $630 | 5% | +1 pts | — | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 14d |
| ↑ $585 | 16% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 11¢ · 20¢ (9¢) | $5 | in 14d |
| ↓ $465 | 13% | +2 pts | — | 8¢ · 17¢ (9¢) | $5 | in 14d |
| ↓ $525 | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 14d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 38¢ for ↓ $495 means the market gives it about 38%.