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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 4% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| Data center utility cost protection | 19% | — | +7 pts | 18¢ · 20¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Trump Airport | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 7% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| $2.50 Coin | 9% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 7¢ · 11¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| SHOWER Act | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 76d |
| AI-chip export licensing | 30% | +12 pts | +8 pts | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | $349 | in 76d |
| NO FAKES Act | 14% | +9 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 17¢ (6¢) | $74.7 | in 74d |
| Film/TV production expensing | 12% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $30 | in 76d |
| DEFIANCE Act | 4% | −3 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | $20 | in 76d |
| Credit-card routing competition | 15% | −1 pts | +5 pts | 13¢ · 17¢ (4¢) | $20 | in 76d |
| Export-control chip security | 32% | −1 pts | +6 pts | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $16.5 | in 76d |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization | 12% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | $8 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | whispercatalyst | Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,111 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 98d | Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,102 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 115d | 0x955c…990f | Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$19 +1.2% | 4 |
| 185d | Newshound | FISA Section 702 reauthorization | BuyNo76¢ → 89¢ | $1,135 | +$187 +16% | 20 |
| 187d | BoBoBunny | FISA Section 702 reauthorization | BuyNo74¢ → 89¢ | $1,480 | +$290 +20% | 21 |
| 207d | PredictKitten | FISA Section 702 reauthorization | BuyNo79¢ → 89¢ | $1,580 | +$190 +12% | 18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Smithsonian Women’s History Museum means the market gives it about 4%.