| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7,404 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $6,552 | +$912 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 2,055 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,962 | +$177 +9.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,666 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,525 | +$28 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,050 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $1,439 | −$44 −3.0% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,560 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $1,427 | +$158 +12% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 2,484 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $1,242 | +$10 +0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,054 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,648 | 39¢ → 72¢ | $1,178 | +$531 +82% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,644 | 42¢ → 65¢ | $1,063 | +$377 +55% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 1,105 | 60¢ → 89¢ | $978 | +$311 +47% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,733 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $877 | +$40 +4.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,058 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $836 | −$25 −2.9% |
| Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 1,020 | 88¢ → 77¢ | $783 | −$118 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,010 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $672 | −$22 −3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,016 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $665 | +$41 +6.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,328 | 52¢ → 49¢ | $644 | −$48 −6.9% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,023 | 32¢ → 54¢ | $547 | +$216 +65% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,228 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $510 | −$8 −1.5% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 794 | 77¢ → 60¢ | $473 | −$138 −23% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,784 | 66¢ → 26¢ | $455 | −$714 −61% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,450 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $428 | −$45 −9.5% |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 938 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $422 | +$16 +3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 662 | 75¢ → 62¢ | $407 | −$89 −18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 909 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $368 | +$10 +2.8% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 412 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $365 | +$10 +2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 518 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $350 | −$6 −1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 870 | 30¢ → 38¢ | $326 | +$66 +25% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 403 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $309 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,646 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $298 | −$372 −56% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,040 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $296 | +$62 +26% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 981 | 27¢ → 30¢ | $294 | +$26 +9.6% |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 489 | 55¢ → 60¢ | $294 | +$25 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 350 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $289 | +$10 +3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 800 | 39¢ → 36¢ | $284 | −$26 −8.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 291 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $283 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,583 | 25¢ → 18¢ | $277 | −$119 −30% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 343 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $270 | +$7 +2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 360 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $259 | +$8 +3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 285 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $255 | +$6 +2.2% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 440 | 72¢ → 57¢ | $251 | −$66 −21% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 305 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $251 | −$7 −2.8% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 450 | 60¢ → 55¢ | $248 | −$21 −7.7% |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 477 | 76¢ → 46¢ | $221 | −$142 −39% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 531 | 56¢ → 40¢ | $212 | −$83 −28% |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $211 | +$18 +9.3% |
| Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 292 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $200 | +$21 +11% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 211 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $190 | +$7 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 632 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $189 | −$7 −3.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 500 | 38¢ → 38¢ | $188 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 365 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $181 | −$13 −6.6% |
| Overwatch: NTMR vs Disguised (BO5) - OCS North America Stage 3 Group StageEnds in 8h | Disguised | 395 | 44¢ → 46¢ | $180 | +$8 +4.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 221 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $171 | +$11 +6.8% |
| Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 186 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $169 | +$8 +5.1% |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InEnds in 8h | MVK Esports | 450 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $164 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 17d | No | 347 | 50¢ → 47¢ | $163 | −$9 −5.1% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 181 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $158 | +$2 +1.3% |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 271 | 68¢ → 57¢ | $155 | −$29 −16% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 401 | 37¢ → 38¢ | $150 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 309 | 52¢ → 49¢ | $150 | −$9 −5.8% |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 149 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $149 | +$6 +4.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,698 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $148 | −$267 −64% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 222 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $147 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 180 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $146 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Ends in 75d | Yes | 184 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $144 | +$28 +25% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 316 | 39¢ → 45¢ | $142 | +$20 +17% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,050 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $142 | −$117 −45% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 474 | 54¢ → 28¢ | $135 | −$122 −48% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 152 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $133 | +$9 +7.1% |
| Will Export-control chip security become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 177 | 72¢ → 69¢ | $121 | −$6 −4.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 136 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $120 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,054 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $112 | −$7 −6.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 130 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $107 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 122 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $106 | +$8 +7.7% |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $103 | +$13 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $98 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 314 | 13¢ → 30¢ | $94 | +$55 +138% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 285 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $87 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $85 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 202 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $84 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 334 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $83 | +$12 +17% |
| Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 228 | 44¢ → 36¢ | $82 | −$17 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 483 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $82 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 135 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $82 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 106 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $82 | −$6 −7.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 106 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $81 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 157 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $78 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 76 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $75 | +$4 +6.0% |
| Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | No | 76 | 54¢ → 97¢ | $74 | +$33 +80% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 92 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $73 | +$13 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 156 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $73 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 504 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $72 | +$19 +34% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 83 | 61¢ → 86¢ | $71 | +$21 +41% |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Ends ended | Yes | 75 | 38¢ → 94¢ | $71 | +$42 +147% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 118 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $70 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 73 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $66 | +$12 +22% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 472 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $66 | −$17 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 720 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $65 | +$13 +26% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 262 | 43¢ → 25¢ | $64 | −$48 −43% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 82 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $64 | +$5 +8.6% |
