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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 37% | — | — | 36¢ · 37¢ (1¢) | $197K | in 7h |
| Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | 45% | — | — | 44¢ · 45¢ (1¢) | $21.3K | in 7h |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 71% | — | — | 70¢ · 71¢ (1¢) | $14.2K | in 7h |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 32% | — | — | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $12.4K | in 7h |
| Game 1 Winner | 42% | — | — | 41¢ · 42¢ (1¢) | $12K | in 5h |
| Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5) | 22% | — | — | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | $11.6K | in 7h |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 49% | — | — | 48¢ · 49¢ (1¢) | $5.5K | in 7h |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 51% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | $2.91K | in 7h |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 52% | — | — | 51¢ · 52¢ (1¢) | $1.1K | in 7h |
| Game 3 Winner | 43% | — | — | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $301 | in 6h |
| Game 2 Winner | 43% | — | — | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $242 | in 5h |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 52% | — | — | 51¢ · 53¢ (2¢) | $96.2 | in 7h |
| Game 4 Winner | 46% | — | — | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | $43.6 | in 7h |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 5h |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 5h |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 5h |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 5h |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 6h |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 6h |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 6h |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 6h |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 6h |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 7h |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 7h |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 7h |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 7h |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 7h |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8h |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8h |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8h |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 8h |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 8h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12m | Worrisome-Winery | Game 1 Winner | BuyFURIA Esports59¢ | $2,247 | −$19 −0.8% | 29 |
| 30m | SineNooneEI2 fills | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports64¢ | $42,229 | −$330 −0.8% | 29 |
| 41m | olddogswish | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports37¢ | $1,231 | −$17 −1.4% | 12 |
| 45m | sofa88888 | Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | BuyMVK Esports55¢ | $4,819 | +$44 +0.9% | 30 |
| 52m | csgamer11 | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports37¢ | $2,283 | −$31 −1.4% | 13 |
| 59m | predictor23452 | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports37¢ | $1,000 | −$14 −1.4% | 12 |
| 1h | lhz6002 | Game 1 Winner | BuyFURIA Esports59¢ | $1,426 | −$4 −0.3% | 23 |
| 1h |  mk3over | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports37¢ | $1,000 | −$14 −1.4% | 12 |
| 1h | ZOFGK | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports64¢ | $3,259 | −$25 −0.8% | 13 |
| 2h | updowduke | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports37¢ | $2,500 | −$34 −1.4% | 13 |
| 2h | Odd-Deformation | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports63¢ → 64¢ | $2,637 | +$21 +0.8% | 13 |
| 2h | Mooseborzoiii | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports63¢ → 64¢ | $8,190 | +$65 +0.8% | 15 |
| 2h |  arrombabets | Game 1 Winner | BuyFURIA Esports58¢ → 59¢ | $1,562 | +$1 +0.1% | 22 |
| 2h | vip190666 | Match Winner | BuyMVK Esports38¢ → 37¢ | $1,413 | −$56 −3.9% | 13 |
| 4h | suntori | O/U 3.5 Games | BuyOver71¢ | $1,418 | −$10 −0.7% | 19 |
| 7h | Dual-Criticism | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports62¢ → 64¢ | $7,763 | +$188 +2.4% | 15 |
| 8h | am100 | O/U 3.5 Games | BuyUnder31¢ → 30¢ | $1,291 | −$48 −3.7% | 19 |
| 8h | Naive-Blade | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BuyUnder49¢ → 52¢ | $1,005 | +$51 +5.1% | 27 |
| 8h | Naive-Blade | O/U 4.5 Games | BuyUnder67¢ → 69¢ | $4,127 | +$71 +1.7% | 32 |
| 9h |  lolpredict | Match Winner | BuyFURIA Esports61¢ → 64¢ | $1,760 | +$72 +4.1% | 13 |
Albedo0013,133 shareslolpredict2,886 shares
oneheadedtiger2,694 sharesThis market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win the match against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against MVK Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 37¢ for Match Winner means the market gives it about 37%.