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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Murphy | 86% | +7 pts | +10 pts | 85¢ · 87¢ (2¢) | $57 | in 62d |
| Walt Weiss | 13% | −6 pts | −8 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 62d |
| Craig Stammen | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $76 | in 62d |
| Carlos Mendoza | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 62d |
| Rob Thomson | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 62d |
| Don Mattingly | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Andy Green | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Torey Lovullo | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Craig Counsell | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Terry Francona | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Warren Schaeffer | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Clayton McCullough | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Don Kelly | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Tony Vitello | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Oliver Marmol | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Dave Roberts | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| Blake Butera | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 62d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Gaditima2 fills | Oliver Marmol | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,052 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 47d | Gaditima | Oliver Marmol | BuyYes90¢ → <1¢ | $1,296 | −$1,295 −100% | 4 |
| 89d | iwtty7UMnBear | Carlos Mendoza | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,871 | −$22 −0.5% | — |
| 89d | iwtty7UMnBear | Carlos Mendoza | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 150d | Cluttered-TenetNew account | Rob Thomson | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $6,548 | −$50 −0.8% | — |
| 150d | Cluttered-TenetNew account | Rob Thomson | BuyNo100¢ | $6,574 | +$23 +0.4% | 4 |
| 150d | Gentle-PersonnelNew account | Rob Thomson | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $12,220 | −$71 −0.6% | — |
| 150d | Gentle-PersonnelNew account | Rob Thomson | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $12,244 | +$46 +0.4% | 4 |
| 150d | 0x4ab7…2d244 fills | Rob Thomson | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $6,486 | −$32 −0.5% | — |
| 150d | 0x4ab7…2d243 fills | Rob Thomson | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,888 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 204d | edwardtha | Carlos Mendoza | SellNo30¢ → >99¢ | $1,394 | −$3,245 −233% | — |
| 204d | edwardtha | Carlos Mendoza | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $4,552 | +$86 +1.9% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 86¢ for Pat Murphy means the market gives it about 86%.