| Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,121 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,059 | +$36 +3.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 39¢ → >99¢ | $998 | +$608 +156% |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 1,000 | 71¢ → 95¢ | $949 | +$241 +34% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 573 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $543 | +$104 +24% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 627 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $486 | +$15 +3.3% |
| Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $479 | +$83 +21% |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 543 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $475 | +$76 +19% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 460 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $457 | +$57 +14% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 680 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $456 | −$5 −1.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 16¢ → 45¢ | $445 | +$281 +171% |
| Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 540 | 46¢ → 82¢ | $440 | +$189 +75% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 410 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $390 | +$186 +92% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 419 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $367 | +$55 +18% |
| Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 354 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $342 | +$18 +5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 350 | 69¢ → 97¢ | $340 | +$100 +42% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 350 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $335 | +$13 +4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 325 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $324 | +$81 +34% |
| Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 321 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $312 | +$16 +5.4% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 373 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $302 | +$32 +12% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,000 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $300 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 991 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $292 | −$12 −3.9% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?Ends in 17d | No | 414 | 63¢ → 71¢ | $292 | +$30 +11% |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 299 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $292 | +$14 +5.1% |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 21d | No | 586 | 56¢ → 48¢ | $278 | −$49 −15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $275 | +$112 +69% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | No | 516 | 31¢ → 53¢ | $271 | +$110 +69% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 753 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $256 | −$8 −3.1% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 430 | 36¢ → 59¢ | $252 | +$96 +62% |
| Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Ends in 104d | No | 474 | 60¢ → 47¢ | $223 | −$64 −22% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | No | 889 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $222 | −$29 −12% |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 278 | 19¢ → 78¢ | $215 | +$163 +307% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$39 +22% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 305 | 15¢ → 70¢ | $212 | +$166 +358% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 240 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $211 | +$29 +16% |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 222 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $205 | +$64 +45% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 201 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $200 | +$35 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $199 | +$45 +29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$26 +15% |
| Will "The Whisper Man" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$28 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$32 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 266 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $190 | +$23 +14% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 54¢ → 92¢ | $184 | +$76 +70% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 190 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $182 | +$30 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 189 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $182 | +$14 +8.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 180 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $175 | +$38 +28% |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 53d | Yes | 530 | 37¢ → 32¢ | $170 | −$28 −14% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 215 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $166 | +$9 +6.0% |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $165 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 410 | 43¢ → 40¢ | $162 | −$15 −8.2% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 29d | No | 1,000 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $160 | −$29 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 165 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $156 | +$26 +20% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,071 | 48¢ → 14¢ | $155 | −$360 −70% |
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 158 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $154 | +$10 +7.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 159 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $152 | +$25 +20% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$35 +30% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 160 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $150 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 45¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$59 +66% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election?Ends in 318d | No | 194 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $147 | +$30 +25% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | No | 400 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $146 | −$2 −1.4% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $145 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 200 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $145 | −$5 −3.3% |
| Will Julia Klöckner be the next President of Germany?Ends in 104d | No | 149 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $133 | +$14 +12% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Ends in 17d | No | 235 | 44¢ → 56¢ | $133 | +$31 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 135 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $132 | +$22 +20% |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 286 | 65¢ → 46¢ | $132 | −$53 −29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 140 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $130 | +$21 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 130 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $123 | +$22 +22% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?Ends in 17d | No | 195 | 43¢ → 63¢ | $122 | +$37 +44% |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 684 | 10¢ → 18¢ | $120 | +$51 +73% |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 204 | 56¢ → 57¢ | $117 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 132 | 66¢ → 84¢ | $110 | +$23 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $109 | +$38 +53% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 446 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $109 | −$57 −34% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 120 | 39¢ → 91¢ | $109 | +$62 +130% |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 91d | No | 500 | 12¢ → 21¢ | $105 | +$45 +75% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 107 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $103 | +$11 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 104 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $103 | +$25 +32% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 17d | No | 124 | 46¢ → 81¢ | $100 | +$43 +76% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 123 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $98 | +$9 +11% |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 120 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $97 | −$4 −4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 99 | 72¢ → 98¢ | $97 | +$26 +36% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?Ends in 17d | No | 140 | 48¢ → 69¢ | $97 | +$30 +45% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$14 +17% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 104 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $96 | +$18 +23% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 101 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $94 | +$12 +14% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 61d | No | 89 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $88 | +$12 +15% |
| Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 518 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $85 | +$45 +111% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 95 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $85 | +$17 +26% |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $84 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 60% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 90 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $82 | +$14 +20% |
| Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 84 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $81 | +$15 +23% |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ends in 6d | No | 1,399 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $80 | −$215 −73% |
| Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 80 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $80 | +$9 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 513 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $80 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 132 | 22¢ → 60¢ | $79 | +$50 +168% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 642 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $78 | +$23 +42% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 85 | 64¢ → 92¢ | $78 | +$24 +43% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,032 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $77 | −$42 −35% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 571 | 24¢ → 13¢ | $77 | −$60 −44% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election by 60% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$21 +37% |
