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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 47% | +9 pts | +23 pts | 23¢ · 70¢ (47¢) | $37 | in 76d |
| October 31 | 7% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 13¢ (11¢) | $10 | in 14d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 47¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 47%.