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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | $100 | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 13%.