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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Kamlager-Dove | 94% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 94¢ · 94¢ (<1¢) | $133 | in 18d |
| Samantha Mota | 4% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | SitsToPee2 fills | Sydney Kamlager-Dove | BuyYes93¢ → 94¢ | $7,470 | +$107 +1.4% | 15 |
| 66d | sdhyky | Sydney Kamlager-Dove | SellYes93¢ → 94¢ | $5,008 | −$24 −0.5% | — |
| 85d | sdhyky | Sydney Kamlager-Dove | BuyYes95¢ → 94¢ | $5,885 | −$47 −0.8% | 14 |
PolyArbi70 shares
Dr.PNL528 shares
macrosteaks319 shares
LornaPredicts266 sharesThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 94¢ for Sydney Kamlager-Dove means the market gives it about 94%.