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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson (D) | 95% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $18.5K | in 18d |
| John James (R) | 5% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $3.72K | in 18d |
| Independent | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | SAPolitcsSeer4 fills | Jocelyn Benson (D) | BuyYes94¢ → 95¢ | $18,789 | +$256 +1.4% | 14 |
| 9h | donthackme2 fills | John James (R) | BuyNo94¢ → 95¢ | $2,550 | +$29 +1.1% | 14 |
| 11h | BuddhaYTorrance5 fills | Jocelyn Benson (D) | BuyYes95¢ | $30,342 | +$75 +0.2% | 13 |
| 3d | kaxel78 | John James (R) | BuyNo95¢ | $1,163 | +$2 +0.2% | 13 |
| 3d | zerone777 | John James (R) | BuyNo95¢ | $1,058 | +$2 +0.2% | 13 |
| 3d | alex20011 | John James (R) | BuyNo95¢ | $1,862 | +$6 +0.3% | 13 |
| 7d |  Rushwave | Jocelyn Benson (D) | BuyYes93¢ → 95¢ | $3,424 | +$73 +2.1% | 13 |
| 289d | HaroldSmith3771 | John James (R) | BuyNo76¢ → 95¢ | $1,015 | +$255 +25% | 26 |
| 303d | TraceyHamilton5170 | John James (R) | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $1,066 | +$251 +24% | 25 |
| 303d | CrystalFrench1662 | John James (R) | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $1,089 | +$256 +24% | 25 |
ImJustKen6,713 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 95¢ for Jocelyn Benson (D) means the market gives it about 95%.