| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 9,216 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $8,157 | +$461 +6.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $7,400 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,987 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $4,363 | +$66 +1.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,899 | 47¢ → 66¢ | $3,887 | +$1,113 +40% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,545 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $3,102 | +$118 +4.0% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,236 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $2,767 | +$95 +3.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 6,352 | 36¢ → 43¢ | $2,700 | +$417 +18% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,000 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $2,415 | +$232 +11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11,120 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $1,724 | −$129 −6.9% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,300 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,177 | +$49 +4.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 728 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $688 | +$276 +67% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,118 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $667 | −$42 −5.9% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,000 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $540 | −$600 −53% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 12,000 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $492 | −$70 −12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 480 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $425 | +$79 +23% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 4,000 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $340 | −$60 −15% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 277 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $252 | +$28 +13% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$82 +82% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 24,076 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $181 | −$1,444 −89% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,379 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $166 | +$28 +21% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 3,000 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $135 | −$255 −65% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 300 | 34¢ → 32¢ | $96 | −$6 −5.9% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 56¢ → 97¢ | $95 | +$40 +71% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $27 | +$8 +39% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 60¢ → 96¢ | $20 | +$8 +61% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 198 | 60¢ → 7¢ | $14 | −$105 −88% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$2 +20% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 12 | 20¢ → 15¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,289 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,681 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$638 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$211 −100% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 241 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,224 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$258 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,272 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,626 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81,650 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 197 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,819 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$214 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42,688 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14,594 −100% |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,026 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$428 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 245 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76,171 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$935 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,819 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,870 −100% |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 720 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,911 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$772 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,179 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$448 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,765 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$335 −100% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$233 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$252 −100% |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,745 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76,308 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,439 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 626 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,765 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,107 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,966 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$234 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,912 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,726 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 259 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,923 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$553 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,694 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 284 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$247 −100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,831 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$450 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,329 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$293 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,280 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,160 −100% |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,745 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,866 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$147 −100% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,593 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,528 −100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,670 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,745 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,755 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$294 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$211 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64,470 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$835 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71,282 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$801 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,369 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,982 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$211 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,064 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,109 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,478 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,640 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$720 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,405 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,338 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,929 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$848 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,183 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,830 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,340 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$647 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,726 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,826 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,983 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,984 −100% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 271 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,435 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,058 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,822 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$508 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,487 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$916 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,901 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$241 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,509 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,524 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69,221 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$747 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77,650 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,300 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,195 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$211 −100% |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 451 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$136 −100% |
