DirkDiggler67

Polymarket wallet 0xaab9f5e600a5dd88fe3a6f93313b180f6220a08d · on Polymarket since Jul 6, 2024 · also shown as Smoggy-Antique

Open on Polymarket ↗

nothing bad can happen, it can only good happen

Positions now worth: $58.2K
All-time profit: +$125K
Volume traded: $6.69M
All-time rank: #1,558
Markets traded: 957
Recent hit rate: 32%16 of last 50 closed

Open positions

71 markets · $58.2K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	54,218	13¢ → 16¢	$8,404	+$1,356 +19%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	20,443	34¢ → 41¢	$8,279	+$1,227 +17%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	28,819	26¢ → 24¢	$6,916	−$714 −9.4%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	3,513	62¢ → 92¢	$3,232	+$1,059 +49%
Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	17,791	50¢ → 18¢	$3,202	−$5,679 −64%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	Yes	110,071	2¢ → 2¢	$2,146	+$130 +6.5%
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	2,123	86¢ → 94¢	$1,985	+$159 +8.7%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	4,782	41¢ → 41¢	$1,937	−$2 −0.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended	Yes	3,097	33¢ → 53¢	$1,655	+$642 +63%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	1,715	71¢ → 95¢	$1,629	+$408 +33%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d	No	1,640	82¢ → 94¢	$1,533	+$185 +14%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d	Yes	2,033	33¢ → 66¢	$1,332	+$655 +97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	4,444	14¢ → 24¢	$1,044	+$400 +62%
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	3,206	32¢ → 31¢	$978	−$58 −5.6%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	1,150	30¢ → 83¢	$949	+$609 +179%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	954	50¢ → 91¢	$868	+$391 +82%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 44d	Yes	4,018	12¢ → 22¢	$864	+$371 +75%
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	1,002	63¢ → 83¢	$827	+$199 +32%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	1,993	29¢ → 37¢	$728	+$140 +24%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	3,492	26¢ → 19¢	$646	−$265 −29%
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	3,120	39¢ → 20¢	$624	−$593 −49%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,805	48¢ → 34¢	$611	−$250 −29%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	4,444	37¢ → 14¢	$600	−$1,022 −63%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	555	75¢ → 90¢	$500	+$84 +20%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 74d	Yes	817	56¢ → 61¢	$494	+$40 +8.9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	526	63¢ → 91¢	$479	+$146 +44%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	531	84¢ → 90¢	$475	+$31 +7.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	2,046	20¢ → 20¢	$399	−$16 −3.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	452	80¢ → 83¢	$375	+$14 +3.8%
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	413	83¢ → 90¢	$370	+$28 +8.1%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,401	23¢ → 25¢	$343	+$20 +6.2%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	2,192	13¢ → 16¢	$340	+$55 +19%
Kash Patel out by October 31?Ends in 14d	No	336	84¢ → 97¢	$326	+$44 +15%
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	1,333	22¢ → 24¢	$313	+$23 +8.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d	Yes	1,111	34¢ → 28¢	$306	−$72 −19%
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d	No	555	60¢ → 46¢	$253	−$80 −24%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 17d	Yes	631	33¢ → 34¢	$211	+$3 +1.5%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	215	55¢ → 86¢	$183	+$65 +55%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	870	23¢ → 19¢	$165	−$34 −17%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d	No	237	45¢ → 68¢	$160	+$53 +50%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	379	43¢ → 38¢	$142	−$21 −13%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d	Yes	2,542	4¢ → 5¢	$139	+$28 +25%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d	Yes	2,328	4¢ → 6¢	$132	+$39 +43%
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	134	76¢ → 96¢	$129	+$27 +27%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d	No	283	32¢ → 38¢	$106	+$16 +17%
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 17d	No	102	67¢ → 99¢	$100	+$32 +48%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	93	72¢ → 94¢	$87	+$20 +30%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	Yes	226	29¢ → 38¢	$85	+$18 +27%
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,848	8¢ → 4¢	$71	−$72 −50%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	251	22¢ → 23¢	$59	+$4 +7.6%
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	67	51¢ → 86¢	$57	+$23 +66%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	60	66¢ → 91¢	$54	+$15 +38%
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d	Yes	297	35¢ → 18¢	$52	−$51 −49%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	64	80¢ → 81¢	$52	+$0 +0.6%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	61	80¢ → 84¢	$51	+$2 +4.4%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	41	58¢ → 94¢	$38	+$15 +62%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	44	60¢ → 86¢	$38	+$12 +43%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	38	49¢ → 85¢	$33	+$14 +73%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	36	61¢ → 86¢	$31	+$9 +41%
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d	Yes	137	11¢ → 18¢	$24	+$9 +59%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	19	44¢ → 92¢	$18	+$9 +109%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d	No	17	81¢ → 97¢	$17	+$3 +20%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 17d	No	30	33¢ → 34¢	$10	+$0 +3.0%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d	No	7	28¢ → 27¢	$2	−$0 −5.4%
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	34	3¢ → 4¢	$1	+$0 +34%
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	259	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	339	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
33m	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$12
34m	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	BuyNo33¢	$5
36m	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	BuyNo33¢	$5
36m	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$12
1h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	BuyYes15¢	$310
3h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	SellYes25¢	$89
11h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	SellYes6¢	$8
13h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	SellYes6¢	$24
14h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes69¢	$664
14h	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	SellYes1¢	$35
14h	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	BuyNo80¢	$13
14h	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	BuyYes80¢	$14
15h	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	BuyYes11¢	$15
18h	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	SellYes54¢	$436
20h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes73¢	$2
20h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes73¢	$177
20h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	BuyYes57¢	$338
20h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes71¢	$311
20h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	SellYes6¢	$6
20h	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	SellYes6¢	$9
22h	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	BuyYes80¢	$14
22h	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes64¢	$227
22h	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$4
22h	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$4
23h	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	BuyYes98¢	$137
23h	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	BuyYes31¢	$78
23h	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	BuyYes31¢	$1
1d	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	BuyYes23¢	$237
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	BuyYes10¢	$34
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes38¢	$35
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes38¢	$17
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes38¢	$45
1d	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	BuyYes32¢	$945
1d	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	SellYes38¢	$549
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	BuyNo91¢	$91
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	BuyNo91¢	$90
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes28¢	$93
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$298
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	BuyNo91¢	$8
1d	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	BuyYes33¢	$36
1d	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyYes22¢	$5
1d	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyYes22¢	$4
1d	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyYes22¢	$57
1d	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyNo22¢	$4
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$64
1d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$42
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$0
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$26
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$28
2d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	SellYes25¢	$18
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes29¢	$262
2d	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes62¢	$69
2d	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	SellYes62¢	$45
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes26¢	$238
2d	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	BuyYes24¢	$3
2d	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyNo22¢	$14
2d	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyYes22¢	$4
2d	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	BuyYes23¢	$9
2d	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	BuyYes80¢	$334
2d	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$11

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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