Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 77% | — | — | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Ted Cruz | 83% | — | −2 pts | 82¢ · 83¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Kim Kardashian | 14% | — | −1 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Kamala Harris | 56% | +2 pts | +6 pts | 52¢ · 61¢ (9¢) | — | in 441d |
| Tim Walz | 9% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | — | in 74d |
| Hunter Biden | 26% | — | +1 pts | 25¢ · 27¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Hillary Clinton | 4% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Josh Hawley | 34% | −2 pts | −14 pts | 33¢ · 35¢ (2¢) | — | in 74d |
| Tucker Carlson | 18% | +1 pts | — | 17¢ · 18¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Andrew Yang | 54% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 51¢ · 56¢ (5¢) | — | in 74d |
| Erika Kirk | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| John Fetterman | 13% | −1 pts | −14 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Bernie Sanders | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Elon Musk | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Cory Booker | 60% | +2 pts | −1 pts | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| MrBeast | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Liz Cheney | 14% | — | — | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Jon Stewart | 18% | — | — | 17¢ · 18¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Zohran Mamdani | 11% | — | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Michelle Obama | 15% | — | +1 pts | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Andy Beshear | 88% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 88¢ · 88¢ (<1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Gina Raimondo | 22% | — | — | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 16% | — | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Stephen A. Smith | 19% | +1 pts | — | 18¢ · 20¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 16% | — | — | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 32% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 20% | — | +4 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 61% | +4 pts | +8 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | $833 | in 74d |
| Raphael Warnock | 48% | — | +1 pts | 47¢ · 48¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Mike Pence | 16% | — | +1 pts | 15¢ · 16¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Josh Shapiro | 64% | — | −2 pts | 63¢ · 64¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Barack Obama | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Ron DeSantis | 65% | — | — | 64¢ · 65¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Mark Kelly | 57% | — | −1 pts | 56¢ · 58¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 25% | +2 pts | −4 pts | 23¢ · 27¢ (4¢) | — | in 74d |
| Rand Paul | 42% | −2 pts | −6 pts | 33¢ · 50¢ (17¢) | — | in 74d |
| Ivanka Trump | 7% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Nikki Haley | 25% | — | −1 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| LeBron James | 11% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 24% | — | — | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Candace Owens | 20% | — | +9 pts | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Matt Gaetz | 13% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Mark Cuban | 19% | — | — | 18¢ · 19¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Wes Moore | 52% | +1 pts | −14 pts | 38¢ · 66¢ (28¢) | — | in 441d |
| John Thune | 14% | — | −1 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Pete Buttigieg | 75% | +8 pts | +9 pts | 73¢ · 77¢ (4¢) | $200 | in 441d |
| Glenn Youngkin | 34% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 33¢ · 34¢ (1¢) | $165 | in 441d |
| Brian Kemp | 31% | +3 pts | +4 pts | 30¢ · 31¢ (1¢) | $163 | in 441d |
| Chelsea Clinton | 11% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 11¢ · 11¢ (<1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Donald Trump | 12% | — | −1 pts | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | — | in 441d |
| Jared Polis | 36% | — | −2 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 14% | +1 pts | −6 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $80 | in 74d |
| Elise Stefanik | 26% | +2 pts | +3 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Kristi Noem | 17% | −1 pts | — | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | — | in 74d |
| George Clooney | 13% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $78 | in 441d |
| Phil Murphy | 47% | −8 pts | +25 pts | 39¢ · 55¢ (16¢) | $69.8 | in 74d |
| J.B. Pritzker | 53% | +3 pts | −10 pts | 52¢ · 53¢ (1¢) | $40 | in 441d |
| Roy Cooper | 22% | +2 pts | +7 pts | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Tom Brady | 17% | — | +1 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Don Lemon | 23% | — | +2 pts | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | — | in 74d |
| J.D. Vance | 81% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 81¢ · 82¢ (1¢) | $30 | in 441d |
| Byron Donalds | 25% | — | +1 pts | 24¢ · 25¢ (1¢) | $29.3 | in 441d |
| Oprah Winfrey | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Steve Bannon | 32% | −1 pts | +13 pts | 28¢ · 35¢ (7¢) | $26.1 | in 74d |
| Marco Rubio | 41% | — | — | 40¢ · 41¢ (1¢) | $20.8 | in 74d |
| Jon Ossoff | 50% | +13 pts | −13 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 441d |
| Rahm Emanuel | 61% | +1 pts | −14 pts | 58¢ · 63¢ (5¢) | $20 | in 441d |
| Beto O’Rourke | 12% | — | — | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Katie Britt | 39% | — | +20 pts | 18¢ · 59¢ (41¢) | — | in 74d |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 21% | — | −10 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| Greg Abbott | 26% | — | +3 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
DFK540 shares
Robbb84 shares
DidoKazaNe30 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 77¢ for Gavin Newsom means the market gives it about 77%.