| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,399 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $192 | +$106 +123% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,924 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $125 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 16¢ → 100¢ | $125 | +$105 +525% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 356 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $123 | −$9 −7.1% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 677 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $71 | −$24 −25% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 489 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $71 | −$17 −19% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 561 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $52 | −$20 −28% |
| Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 107 | 53¢ → 49¢ | $52 | −$5 −8.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 313 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $52 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,083 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $47 | +$3 +8.0% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 189 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $46 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 837 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $46 | −$10 −19% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 340 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $46 | −$12 −21% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 479 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $46 | −$11 −20% |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 43d | Yes | 186 | 15¢ → 24¢ | $45 | +$17 +63% |
| Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $45 | +$21 +89% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 321 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $43 | +$21 +97% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 508 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $43 | −$8 −16% |
| Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 142 | 11¢ → 28¢ | $40 | +$25 +164% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 363 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $38 | −$6 −14% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 315 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $38 | +$24 +170% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 300 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $38 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,192 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $32 | +$10 +46% |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 16¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$27 +525% |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 178 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $32 | +$11 +56% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 399 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $31 | −$5 −15% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 363 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $31 | −$12 −28% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,163 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $31 | +$26 +558% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 291 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $31 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 156 | 6¢ → 19¢ | $30 | +$21 +231% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 213 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $29 | −$6 −17% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,507 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $29 | +$8 +37% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 139 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $29 | −$7 −19% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 624 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $27 | −$2 −6.0% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 104 | 27¢ → 26¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,288 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $25 | −$29 −54% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 323 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $24 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 186 | 5¢ → 13¢ | $24 | +$14 +136% |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 848 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $24 | −$15 −38% |
| Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?Ends in 17d | Yes | 62 | 42¢ → 39¢ | $24 | −$2 −8.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 314 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $24 | −$8 −25% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 114 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $23 | −$8 −25% |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 86 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $22 | −$4 −15% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 53 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $22 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 132 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $22 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 87 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $22 | +$4 +23% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 287d | Yes | 74 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $21 | −$2 −8.9% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 650 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $21 | −$4 −16% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 189 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 843 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $20 | −$6 −22% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 86 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $20 | −$3 −13% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 367 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$22 −52% |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$15 +300% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 361 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 274 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $20 | −$13 −41% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 79 | 19¢ → 24¢ | $19 | +$4 +24% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 381 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $18 | −$25 −57% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 194 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $18 | +$8 +85% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 18 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $18 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 635 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $17 | −$8 −31% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 276 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$5 −24% |
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 105 | 8¢ → 16¢ | $17 | +$8 +102% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 155 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $16 | −$3 −14% |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | No | 86 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $16 | −$2 −13% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 179 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 127 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $16 | −$8 −33% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 241 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 95 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $16 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Ends in 287d | Yes | 119 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $15 | +$1 +6.5% |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 325 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$4 +40% |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 444 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$8 −36% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 33d | Yes | 453 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 126 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $14 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 44 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $14 | −$3 −17% |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 92 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.4% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 483 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.2% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $13 | −$2 −12% |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 497 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$17 −57% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 280 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $13 | −$6 −32% |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 714 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 421 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 517 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$13 −52% |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 278 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $12 | −$5 −31% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,027 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$7 −37% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 46 | 17¢ → 27¢ | $12 | +$4 +53% |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?Ends in 256d | No | 25 | 42¢ → 49¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 127 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $12 | +$5 +74% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 359 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 455 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 89 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $12 | −$8 −42% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $11 | +$4 +51% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $11 | −$4 −25% |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | No | 29 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $11 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $11 | $0 0.0% |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 440d | Yes | 125 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $11 | −$3 −20% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 255 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$1 −10% |
| Will Eminem release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 68 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $11 | −$1 −10% |
