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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman - OpenAI | 4% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | 8% | — | +2 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 76d |
| Dan Clancy - Twitch | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 76d |
| Sundar Pichai - Google | 4% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Andy Jassy - Amazon | 5% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179d | Alexeender | Dan Clancy - Twitch | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,257 | +$53 +4.2% | 20 |
| 179d | Awkward-Bride2 fills | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,555 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 179d |  club-neegy-fc | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,095 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 179d |  The-Joker | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,546 | +$76 +1.0% | 20 |
| 179d |  Car2 fills | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$346 +13% | 20 |
| 179d |  Newsance3 fills | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $10,954 | +$8,054 +74% | 20 |
| 188d | 77771 | Andy Jassy - Amazon | SellNo87¢ → 95¢ | $1,041 | −$100 −9.6% | — |
| 188d | 77771 | Andy Jassy - Amazon | BuyNo87¢ → 95¢ | $1,160 | +$111 +9.6% | 20 |
| 197d | interisbest | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,234 | −$1,234 −100% | 20 |
| 204d | Abandoned-Cabbage | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,591 | +$1,591 +100% | — |
| 205d | inventive | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,134 | −$2,134 −100% | 20 |
| 207d | AmandaDavis4687 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,594 | −$1,594 −100% | 20 |
| 217d | hedgefundcorp | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | −$1,198 −100% | 20 |
| 225d | DeborahChristensen7615 | Sam Altman - OpenAI | BuyNo81¢ → 96¢ | $1,058 | +$194 +18% | 20 |
| 234d |  john-brown | Sam Altman - OpenAI | SellNo79¢ → 96¢ | $1,277 | −$279 −22% | — |
| 286d | miroki-5D3aC | Brian Armstrong - Coinbase | BuyYes33¢ → 8¢ | $1,000 | −$758 −76% | 20 |
| 309d | skydivider | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$943 +63% | 20 |
DuneMentat562 shares
RiskyyLemon502 shares
LornaPredicts466 shares
Tenebrus7895 sharesThis market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Sam Altman - OpenAI means the market gives it about 4%.