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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciryl Gane | 65% | −3 pts | −4 pts | 64¢ · 66¢ (2¢) | $257 | in 76d |
| Josh Hokit | 30% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 30¢ · 31¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Alex Pereira | 1% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| Tom Aspinall | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Alexander Volkov | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Sergei Pavlovich | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Curtis Blaydes | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Jailton Almeida | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Serghei Spivac | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Derrick Lewis | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Ante Delija | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Marcin Tybura | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Rizvan Kuniev | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Tyrell Fortune | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | cat9x | Josh Hokit | BuyNo78¢ → 70¢ | $1,285 | −$137 −11% | 4 |
| 147d | swift0hoLHerln5 fills | Marcin Tybura | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $71,048 | −$410 −0.6% | — |
| 147d | swift0hoLHerln5 fills | Marcin Tybura | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,208 | +$250 +0.4% | 4 |
| 149d | Wiry-PlainNew account | Alexander Volkov | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $12,909 | −$85 −0.7% | — |
| 149d | Wiry-PlainNew account | Alexander Volkov | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $12,896 | +$98 +0.8% | 4 |
| 149d | Wiry-PlainNew account | Waldo Cortes Acosta | SellNo>99¢ | $9,953 | −$25 −0.3% | — |
| 149d | Wiry-PlainNew account | Waldo Cortes Acosta | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,963 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 149d | forsignt | Derrick Lewis | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,933 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 149d | forsignt | Derrick Lewis | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $2,912 | +$58 +2.0% | 4 |
| 149d | forsignt | Waldo Cortes Acosta | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $13,775 | −$68 −0.5% | — |
| 149d | forsignt2 fills | Waldo Cortes Acosta | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,808 | +$35 +0.3% | 4 |
| 269d | gsdgw34t42qt | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,720 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 269d | vsdhye5tuywe5y | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,716 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 274d | g3y62451q5 | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,724 | +$18 +0.7% | 4 |
| 274d | sdgw422erfsdt | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,719 | +$18 +0.7% | 4 |
| 274d | sdfg54ry2tsdg | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,724 | +$18 +0.7% | 4 |
| 275d | vryw6sdgfsg | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,712 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 275d | vsdgfw4t4y | Curtis Blaydes | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,709 | +$10 +0.4% | 4 |
| 275d | sdfg5ryt4t62 | Marcin Tybura | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,717 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 275d | xzdg354sdf | Marcin Tybura | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,715 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 65¢ for Ciryl Gane means the market gives it about 65%.