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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $300M | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $400M | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $100M | 3% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $200M | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| $10M | 14% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| $25M | 9% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $60 | in 76d |
| $50M | 10% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $44 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d |  alanhutton2 fills | $50M | SellNo88¢ → 90¢ | $2,612 | −$49 −1.9% | — |
| 66d | alanhutton | $100M | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,224 | −$43 −3.5% | — |
| 132d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e424562 | $25M | BuyYes56¢ → 9¢ | $1,500 | −$1,271 −85% | 7 |
| 132d | 0x16351b85A6160e7A3759Ec20603e7C14e424562 | $10M | BuyYes72¢ → 14¢ | $1,278 | −$1,028 −80% | 2 |
| 171d | oklmltd | $300M | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,032 | −$13 −1.2% | 2 |
| 309d | lejcles | $200M | BuyNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,505 | +$48 +3.2% | 2 |
| 322d | imjustalarp | $100M | BuyNo83¢ → 97¢ | $1,162 | +$202 +17% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for $300M means the market gives it about 2%.
