| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205,000 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $31,775 | −$1,430 −4.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 186,431 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $13,982 | +$1,586 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 52,000 | 26¢ → 20¢ | $10,140 | −$3,373 −25% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 18,000 | 34¢ → 55¢ | $9,810 | +$3,714 +61% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 12,258 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $4,781 | +$1,182 +33% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 7,849 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $4,749 | +$385 +8.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 10,553 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $4,696 | +$314 +7.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 6,000 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $4,050 | +$697 +21% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 25,000 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $3,625 | −$516 −12% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $2,500 | +$317 +15% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 8,901 | 10¢ → 21¢ | $1,869 | +$950 +103% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20,000 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $1,260 | −$133 −9.6% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 5,000 | 24¢ → 22¢ | $1,075 | −$115 −9.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 5,000 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $975 | −$120 −11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | No | 3,177 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $937 | +$46 +5.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 8,000 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $680 | −$112 −14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,856 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $632 | −$21 −3.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 12,080 | 13¢ → 5¢ | $592 | −$992 −63% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 15,000 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $585 | −$94 −14% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 690 | 54¢ → 75¢ | $514 | +$141 +38% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,653 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $476 | −$231 −33% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,127 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $475 | −$64 −12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 4d | No | 10,500 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $473 | −$402 −46% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 682 | 57¢ → 56¢ | $385 | −$7 −1.7% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,000 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $385 | −$245 −39% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,380 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $380 | −$83 −18% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,000 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $336 | −$22 −6.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,855 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $325 | +$4 +1.2% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 3,434 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $292 | −$90 −24% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 879 | 44¢ → 33¢ | $290 | −$100 −26% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,989 | 0¢ → 13¢ | $261 | +$261 +0.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 26,181 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $223 | −$95 −30% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 300 | 38¢ → 67¢ | $201 | +$87 +77% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,260 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $198 | −$58 −23% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,000 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $186 | −$177 −49% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 5,047 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $179 | −$178 −50% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 700 | 0¢ → 25¢ | $171 | +$171 +0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,841 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $170 | +$28 +20% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,937 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $145 | −$9 −5.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 10h | No | 9,000 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $144 | −$176 −55% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 262 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $139 | −$3 −1.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 5,997 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $135 | −$149 −53% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | Yes | 1,927 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $125 | −$308 −71% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 457 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $112 | +$12 +12% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,900 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $105 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,879 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $95 | −$73 −43% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $90 | −$20 −18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 700 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $87 | −$5 −5.7% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 321 | 10¢ → 27¢ | $87 | +$54 +163% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | No | 496 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $77 | −$22 −22% |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,626 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $72 | −$94 −57% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 28¢ → 34¢ | $67 | +$11 +20% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,616 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $67 | −$188 −74% |
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,080 | 21¢ → 6¢ | $65 | −$163 −72% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,520 | 14¢ → 4¢ | $56 | −$149 −73% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 57 | 87¢ → 81¢ | $46 | −$4 −7.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 690 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $45 | −$93 −68% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 667 | 15¢ → 7¢ | $43 | −$57 −57% |
| Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 275 | 40¢ → 16¢ | $43 | −$68 −61% |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $37 | +$4 +11% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 301 | 15¢ → 11¢ | $33 | −$12 −26% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,000 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $31 | −$14 −30% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 122 | 60¢ → 26¢ | $31 | −$42 −57% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,578 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $31 | −$14 −31% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 269 | 12¢ → 11¢ | $29 | −$4 −11% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 18?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 27¢ → 48¢ | $29 | +$13 +78% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?Ends ended | Yes | 163 | 27¢ → 18¢ | $29 | −$15 −35% |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 7,511 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $26 | −$119 −82% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 8,440 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $25 | +$25 +0.0% |
| Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 131 | 13¢ → 19¢ | $25 | +$8 +48% |
| Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Ends in 14d | Yes | 24 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $24 | +$2 +9.5% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 69 | 26¢ → 32¢ | $22 | +$4 +23% |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,328 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $17 | −$7 −28% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 187 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$0 −3.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 231 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$46 −80% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 69 | 34¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$14 −60% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 206 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $9 | −$24 −72% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 268 | 0¢ → 3¢ | $7 | +$7 +0.0% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,931 | 0¢ → <1¢ | $7 | +$7 +0.0% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$1 +30% |
| Another Elon baby by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $5 | +$2 +45% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $4 | +$3 +347% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 387 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 35 | 20¢ → 10¢ | $3 | −$4 −52% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?Ends in 14d | Yes | 508 | 28¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$141 −98% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $3 | +$0 +6.2% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$3 −61% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$1 −44% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 7d | No | 12 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 48 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −38% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$2 −65% |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +125% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,597 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$157 −100% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 246 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 477 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
