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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | +36 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +17 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 24 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 100% | +5 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | −7 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 26 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 7 | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 28 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 15 | 0% | +16 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | BrightStars5 fills | April 24 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $36,572 | +$1,373 +3.8% | 20 |
| 176d |  Cloverince | April 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  Zhangmuzhiholy | April 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,195 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | oidoioi3 fills | April 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,649 | +$39 +0.6% | 20 |
| 176d | Test669 | April 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d | 0x71e1…45f02 fills | April 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,593 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | April 24 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,179 | +$305 +2.5% | 20 |
| 176d |  scout | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | April 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,116 | +$116 +1.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  vinii | April 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,948 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d | Cloverince | April 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d | 0x71e1…45f0 | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,630 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d | dube4 fills | April 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,596 | +$98 +1.0% | 20 |
| 176d | 0x71e1…45f06 fills | May 15 | BuyYes100¢ | $10,746 | +$54 +0.5% | 20 |
| 176d | BrightStars | April 26 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$9 +0.9% | 20 |
| 176d | BrightStars2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,709 | +$106 +1.4% | 20 |
| 176d | 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$32 +0.8% | 20 |
| 176d | change-world | April 24 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,129 | +$46 +1.1% | 20 |
| 176d | Glaring-Composition | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$11 +0.6% | 20 |
| 176d | bitmapa | May 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 176d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,382 | +$49 +1.1% | 20 |
| 176d | oidoioi | May 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,753 | +$27 +1.5% | 20 |
| 176d | oidoioi | April 26 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 176d | 0x4563…d4cf | April 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$14 −1.4% | — |
| 176d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | May 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,354 | +$132 +1.6% | 20 |
| 176d | dube2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,773 | +$87 +1.5% | 20 |
| 176d |  iutwpfal4 fills | April 24 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,799 | +$562 +8.3% | 20 |
| 176d | paperhandedfool2 fills | April 28 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,541 | +$474 +10% | 21 |
| 176d | Awkward-Bride | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | +$62 +3.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  Dropper | April 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,668 | +$324 +5.7% | 20 |
| 176d | Awkward-Bride | April 24 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,830 | +$333 +5.7% | 20 |
| 176d | loserjj | April 30 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$95 −7.8% | — |
| 176d | Dropper2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,465 | +$537 +9.8% | 21 |
| 176d | BrightStars5 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,047 | +$237 +0.8% | 20 |
| 176d |  The-Joker | April 26 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,714 | +$1,008 +18% | 23 |
| 176d | aikko | April 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$173 +12% | 21 |
| 176d | AnonymousElephant69 | April 24 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$325 +25% | 20 |
| 176d | The-Joker2 fills | April 24 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,088 | +$563 +18% | 20 |
| 176d |  Car | April 24 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,522 | +$1,032 +29% | 20 |
| 176d | Spiring3 fills | April 30 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,716 | −$610 −5.7% | — |
| 176d |  Eurospar | April 24 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | −$1,373 −100% | 21 |
| 176d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 30 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$443 −33% | — |
| 176d | Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 24 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | −$789 −35% | — |
| 176d | ERASERKK | April 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | +$59 +4.1% | 20 |
| 176d | Useful-Chain | April 30 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,616 | −$293 −11% | — |
| 176d | Useful-Chain | April 24 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,721 | −$1,046 −38% | — |
| 176d | oidoioi | April 24 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,362 | −$124 −5.3% | — |
| 176d | Spiring | April 24 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | −$96 −3.5% | — |
| 176d | The-Joker | April 24 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,727 | −$94 −3.5% | — |
| 176d |  xm2100 | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,418 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 176d | oidoioi2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,036 | +$58 +1.4% | 20 |
| 176d | The-Joker2 fills | May 15 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,024 | +$153 +3.0% | 20 |
| 176d | jojo5 | April 30 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | −$395 −18% | — |
| 176d | iutwpfal | May 15 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,294 | +$228 +5.3% | 20 |
| 176d | sssamba | April 24 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,026 +151% | 21 |
| 176d | Coarse-Prisoner | April 24 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,364 | −$1,364 −100% | 33 |
| 176d | L1quid | April 24 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,468 | −$1,468 −100% | 30 |
| 176d |  dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | April 24 | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 30 |
| 176d | High-Level-Bran4 fills | May 15 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,718 | +$728 +13% | 20 |
| 176d | sssamba2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,883 | +$840 +22% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.